Bayern Munich vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Club Friendly Bayern Munich - Aston Villa
Result
2:1
07/08/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Club Friendly
Bayern Munich - Aston Villa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.120.28
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
83
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
73
Passes
90% (461/511)83% (336/404)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.120.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.880.57
Total shots
168
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
31
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2021
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free kicks
918
Passes
90% (461/511)83% (336/404)
Long passes
60% (30/50)41% (14/34)
Passes in final third
81% (114/141)70% (52/74)
Crosses
17% (2/12)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.45
Throw ins
1721
Fouls
189
Tackles
68% (15/22)77% (23/30)
Duels won
3859
Clearances
1716
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.571.88
Goals prevented
-0.43-0.12
Goal kicks
612

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Cardozo M. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Kim Min-Jae ⚽, Bischof T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Laimer K. ↓, Stanisic J. ↑,
  • 60', Madjo B. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
  • 60', Kamara B. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
  • 63', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Ito H. ↑,
  • 63', Cardozo M. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
  • 63', Pavlovic A. ↓, Palhinha J. ↑,
  • 67', Torres P. ↓, Mings T. ↑,
  • 67', Guessand E. ↓, Lynch L. ↑,
  • 73', 2 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Ibrahimovic A. (A),
  • 76', Tah J. ↓, Pavic F. ↑,
  • 77', Brown N. ↓, Assomo B. ↑,
  • 78', Boey S. 🟨,
  • 79', Cash M. ↓, Nedeljkovic K. ↑,
  • 79', Buendia E. ↓, Burrowes B. ↑,
  • 80', Maatsen I. ↓, Rowe T. ↑,
  • 80', Boey S. ↓, Della Rovere G. ↑,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Joao Gomes ⚽, Bogarde L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
47.6%
Draw
23.1%
Aston Villa
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 22.2% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayern Munich's form might have worsened.
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.
  • Bayern Munich - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94 ↑
    (1.67)
    4 ↓
    (4.2)
    3.19 ↓
    (4.28)
    7.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Aston Villa?
    • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 44.1% – 94.3%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 3 - over (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1 - Bayern (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 2 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • Aston Villa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bayern may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.
    • Bayern will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bayern won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Aston Villa were as follows:
    02.10.2024 Aston Villa - Bayern Munich 1:0
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    04.08.2026 Jeju - Bayern Munich 1:2 ✺
    23.05.2026 Bayern Munich - Stuttgart 3:0 ✺
    16.05.2026 Bayern Munich - Köln 5:1 ✺
    09.05.2026 Wolfsburg - Bayern Munich 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    25.07.2026 Porto - Aston Villa 2:1 ✺
    21.07.2026 Walsall - Aston Villa 0:5
    Which TV channels are streaming of Bayern Munich - Aston Villa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 3
    canadaCanadafubo Sports Network
    germanyGermanyFC Bayern TV, Sky Sport News
    hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
    israelIsraelSport 1
    mexicoMexicoClaro Sports
    norwayNorwayVG+
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomVilla TV
    usaUsaSportsEngine Play
    worldWorldOneFootball TV, Pluto TV
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