Result
2:4 pen.
23/02/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
- Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)
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Chances of winning
Monaco
43.2% | Draw
26% | Bayer Leverkusen
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.24) |
3.7 ↑
(3.66) |
3.13 ↑
(3.09) |
4.2%
(4.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen?
Users Predictions:
88 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 63 - 71.6%). Bayer will win (votes: 15 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 62.2% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Monaco was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (77%), has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%), has currently - 10, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- Bayer was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (23%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- This event has big quality 73, very big importance 90, big match rating 82. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Monaco in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Bayer is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Monaco will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Monaco: Aguilar R.
(Thigh Injury)
Martins G.
(Thigh Injury)
Volland K.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Bayer: Aranguiz C.
(Calf Injury)
Lunev A.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Monaco: Maripan G.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderson
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bayer: Diaby M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Monaco to win the game is with odds 2.24.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Monaco won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Monaco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Monaco?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
16.02.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Monaco
2:3
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 24 | Bye | Young Boys | |
| 32 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
| 33 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
| 35 | Besiktas | Bye | |
| 36 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
| 41 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
| 45 | FCSB | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Drita | |
| 56 | Bye | Genk | |
| 57 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 59 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Hibernian | |
| 61 | RFS | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | KuPS | |
| 65 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
| 68 | Bye | Noah | |
| 69 | Lugano | Bye | |
| 70 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 71 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 72 | Bye | Braga | |
| 73 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
| 76 | Bye | Breidablik | |
| 77 | Servette | Bye | |
| 79 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 80 | Bye | Utrecht | |
| 81 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
| 82 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 84 | Bye | Brann | |
| 85 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 86 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 87 | Ostrava | Bye | |
| 88 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 89 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 92 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
| 93 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 96 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 12 | Bye | Young Boys | |
| 16 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
| 17 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
| 18 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
| 20 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
| 21 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
| 23 | FCSB | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Drita | |
| 28 | Bye | Genk | |
| 29 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 30 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | RFS | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | KuPS | |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | Noah | |
| 35 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 36 | Levski Sofia | Braga | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 37 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
| 38 | Bye | Breidablik | |
| 39 | Servette | Bye | |
| 40 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | 1 : 4, 1 : 3 |
| 41 | Anderlecht | Hacken | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 42 | Bye | Brann | |
| 43 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 44 | Ostrava | Legia | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
| 45 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
| 47 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hamrun | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Young Boys | |
| 8 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
| 9 | Panathinaikos | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
| 11 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
| 12 | FCSB | Drita | 3 : 2 |
| 14 | Bye | Genk | |
| 15 | Fredrikstad | Midtjylland | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | RFS | KuPS | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Lincoln Red Imps | Noah | 1 : 1 |
| 18 | CFR Cluj | Braga | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Zrinjski | Breidablik | 1 : 1 |
| 20 | Servette | Utrecht | 1 : 3 |
| 21 | Hacken | Brann | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | AEK Larnaca | Legia | 4 : 1 |
| 23 | Rijeka | Shelbourne | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | PAOK | Wolfsberger AC | 0 : 0 |
Final
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