Result
2:4 pen.
23/02/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
- Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)
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Chances of winning
Monaco
43.2% | Draw
26% | Bayer Leverkusen
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.24) |
3.7 ↑
(3.66) |
3.13 ↑
(3.09) |
4.2%
(4.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen?
Users Predictions:
88 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 63 - 71.6%). Bayer will win (votes: 15 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 62.2% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Monaco was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (77%), has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%), has currently - 10, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- Bayer was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (23%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- This event has big quality 73, very big importance 90, big match rating 82. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Monaco in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Bayer is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Monaco will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Monaco: Aguilar R.
(Thigh Injury)
Martins G.
(Thigh Injury)
Volland K.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Bayer: Aranguiz C.
(Calf Injury)
Lunev A.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Monaco: Maripan G.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderson
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bayer: Diaby M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Monaco to win the game is with odds 2.24.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Monaco won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Monaco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Monaco?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
16.02.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Monaco
2:3
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
UEFA Europa League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Lille | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Plzen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Betis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Ferencvaros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Basel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Brann | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Genk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Young Boys | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | Fenerbahce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | Ludogorets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 23 | Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 24 | FCSB | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 | Nottingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | Crvena zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Bologna | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 28 | PAOK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Celtic | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 31 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 34 | Salzburg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | Feyenoord | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 36 | Malmo FF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
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