Bayer Leverkusen vs Milan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Bayer Leverkusen - Milan
Result
1:0
01/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
Bayer Leverkusen - Milan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.241.37
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
1614
Shots on Goal
95
Shots off Goal
76
Blocked Shots
03
Free Kicks
418
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
30
Goalkeeper Saves
58
Fouls
154
Yellow Cards
22
Total Passes
621604
Completed Passes
585570
Clearances Completed
1610
Crosses Completed
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Boniface V. ⚽, Frimpong J. (A),
  • 62', Abraham T. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
  • 74', Frimpong J. 🟨,
  • 75', Boniface V. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
  • 75', Garcia A. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
  • 80', Pulisic C. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
  • 82', Adli A. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
  • 84', Morata A. 🟨,
  • 89', Grimaldo A. ↓, Belocian J. ↑,
  • 89', Wirtz F. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
  • 90+4', Chukwueze S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
57.6%		Draw
21.9%		Milan
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 22.2% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 21.2% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Bayer Leverkusen - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.67 ↑
    (1.62)    		 4.41 ↑
    (4.32)    		 4.73 ↓
    (5.07)    		 3.6%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (89 of 101 users predict this - 88.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.81% – 94.43%. The data is statistically significant.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Milan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Bayer is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I. (Calf Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Sportiello M. (Hand Injury) Thiaw M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Morata A. (Muscle Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    28.09.2024 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 ✺
    22.09.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg 4:3 ✺
    19.09.2024 Feyenoord - Bayer Leverkusen 0:4 ✺
    14.09.2024 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 1:4 ✺
    31.08.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Milan
    27.09.2024 Milan - Lecce 3:0 ✺
    22.09.2024 Inter Milan - Milan 1:2 ✺
    17.09.2024 Milan - Liverpool 1:3 ✺
    14.09.2024 Milan - Venezia 4:0 ✺
    31.08.2024 Lazio - Milan 2:2 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
    Which TV channels are streaming of Bayer Leverkusen - Milan?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    argentinaArgentinaESPN 3
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
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    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
    belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 5
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
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    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
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    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
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    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
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    polandPolandCANAL+ Family, CANAL+ Sport
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    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
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    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect
    turkeyTurkeyTRT Spor
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
    usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 At Sea Extra, Sport 24 Extra
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    worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app
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