Bayer Leverkusen vs Milan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

BayArena (Leverkusen).

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.24	1.37
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Goal Attempts
16	14
Shots on Goal
9	5
Shots off Goal
7	6
Blocked Shots
0	3
Free Kicks
4	18
Corner Kicks
5	4
Offsides
3	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	8
Fouls
15	4
Yellow Cards
2	2
Total Passes
621	604
Completed Passes
585	570
Clearances Completed
16	10
Crosses Completed
1	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Garcia A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Boniface V. ⚽, Frimpong J. (A),
62', Abraham T. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
74', Frimpong J. 🟨,
75', Boniface V. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
75', Garcia A. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
80', Pulisic C. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
82', Adli A. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
84', Morata A. 🟨,
89', Grimaldo A. ↓, Belocian J. ↑,
89', Wirtz F. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
90+4', Chukwueze S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bayer Leverkusen
57.6%

Draw
21.9%

Milan
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

22.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

21.2%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Bayer Leverkusen - Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)	4.41 ↑ (4.32)	4.73 ↓ (5.07)	3.6% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Milan?

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (89 of 101 users predict this - 88.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.81% – 94.43%. The data is statistically significant.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Now both teams are in good shape.
Milan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Bayer is a favorite.
There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I. (Calf Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Sportiello M. (Hand Injury) Thiaw M. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Milan: Morata A. (Muscle Injury)
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Milan?

Bayer Leverkusen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Bayer Leverkusen?

Milan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Milan were as follows:

Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen

28.09.2024 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 ✺

22.09.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg 4:3 ✺

19.09.2024 Feyenoord - Bayer Leverkusen 0:4 ✺

14.09.2024 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 1:4 ✺

31.08.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Milan

27.09.2024 Milan - Lecce 3:0 ✺

22.09.2024 Inter Milan - Milan 1:2 ✺

17.09.2024 Milan - Liverpool 1:3 ✺

14.09.2024 Milan - Venezia 4:0 ✺

31.08.2024 Lazio - Milan 2:2 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
3	Qarabag	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
5	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
6	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	4:4	0	1
7	Juventus	1	0	1	0	4:4	0	1
8	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	PSG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Slavia Prague	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Club Brugge KV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
25	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
26	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
27	Olympiacos Piraeus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
28	Bodo/Glimt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
29	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
30	Galatasaray	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
31	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
32	Benfica	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
33	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
34	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
35	PSV	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
36	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Bayer Leverkusen - Milan?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1
Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Max
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 MAX, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2, Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Cinemax, HBO Max
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Family, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-america	ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	TRT Spor
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 At Sea Extra, Sport 24 Extra
Vietnam	ON Football, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app