Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Voith-Arena (Heidenheim).

: Bundesliga - Round 28
Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	0.36
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	0
Passes
80% (407/508)	86% (463/541)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	0.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.50	0.63
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
1	0
Shots inside the Box
9	2
Shots outside the Box
1	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	0
Touches in opposition box
17	15
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
10	14
Passes
80% (407/508)	86% (463/541)
Long passes
39% (30/76)	52% (34/66)
Passes in final third
61% (65/106)	76% (112/148)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.48	0.61
Fouls
14	10
Tackles
50% (10/20)	50% (6/12)
Duels won
48	48
Clearances Total
14	29
Interceptions
14	7
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.63	0.50
Goals prevented
-0.37	0.50

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Schoppner J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Busch M. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
68', Boniface V. ↓, Arthur ↑,
68', Tella N. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
76', Siersleben T. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
76', Dorsch N. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
77', Adli A. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
85', Andrich R. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Buendia E. ⚽, Hofmann J. (A),
90+2', Beck A. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
90+2', Schoppner J. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Heidenheim
15.4%

Draw
20.9%

Bayer Leverkusen
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

19.9%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

19.1%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.32 ↓ (6.81)	4.61 ↓ (4.82)	1.5 ↑ (1.46)	4.3% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen?

The most likely score is 0:2.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Heidenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Bayer is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Heidenheim: Honsak M. (Muscle Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Hermoso M. (Thigh Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wirtz F. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Illness) Keller T. (Muscle Injury) Niehues J. (Muscle Injury) Scienza L. (Illness)
There are questionable in Bayer: Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Tapsoba E. (Muscle Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:12 (average 1.5:3).
Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against Bayer Leverkusen?

Heidenheim has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Heidenheim?

Bayer Leverkusen has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:

23.11.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim 5:2

17.02.2024 Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2

24.09.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim 4:1

Latest results of Heidenheim

29.03.2025 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 0:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:3 ✺

23.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:2 ✺

20.02.2025 Heidenheim - Copenhagen 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen

01.04.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Bochum 3:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen 0:2 ✺

05.03.2025 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 3:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	33	24	7	2	95:32	63	79
2	Bayer Leverkusen ✔	33	19	11	3	70:41	29	68
3	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	16	9	8	65:45	20	57
4	Freiburg	33	16	7	10	48:50	-2	55
5	Dortmund	33	16	6	11	68:51	17	54
6	Mainz	33	14	9	10	53:41	12	51
7	RB Leipzig	33	13	12	8	51:45	6	51
8	Werder Bremen	33	13	9	11	50:56	-6	48
9	Stuttgart	33	13	8	12	61:51	10	47
10	B. Monchengladbach	33	13	6	14	55:56	-1	45
11	Augsburg	33	11	10	12	34:49	-15	43
12	Wolfsburg	33	10	10	13	55:54	1	40
13	Union Berlin	33	9	10	14	33:50	-17	37
14	St. Pauli	33	8	8	17	28:39	-11	32
15	Hoffenheim	33	7	11	15	46:64	-18	32
16	Heidenheim	33	8	5	20	36:60	-24	29
17	Holstein Kiel ✔	33	6	7	20	49:77	-28	25
18	Bochum ✔	33	5	7	21	31:67	-36	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 3
Serbia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4, SportKlub 7
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball