Barracas Central vs Unión Santa Fe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe
Result
2:1
28/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.65
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
67% (208/309)81% (332/412)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.981.04
Total shots
197
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
224
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
67% (208/309)81% (332/412)
Long passes
34% (22/64)41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
53% (66/125)60% (59/98)
Crosses
37% (7/19)10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.32
Throw-ins
1016
Fouls
1218
Tackles
42% (5/12)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5251
Clearances
2435
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.041.98
Goals prevented
0.04-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', Corvalan C. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Palacios J. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Candia J. , Rak Y. (A),
  • 45+2', Candia J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Barrios N. , Morales G. ,
  • 46', Corvalan C. , Pitton B. ,
  • 54', Pitton B. 🟨,
  • 59', Ham E. , Canete E. ,
  • 60', Gamba L. , Domina J. ,
  • 74', Tapia I. , Rosane S. ,
  • 74', Candia J. , Bruera F. ,
  • 74', Palacios J. , Verde L. ,
  • 77', Profini R. 🟨,
  • 79', Estigarribia M. , Angulo J. ,
  • 79', Miloc D. , Porra T. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Bruera F. ,
  • 88', Ruiz J. , Barrios R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barracas Central
33.3%
Draw
33.1%
Unión Santa Fe
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 30.6% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 31.8% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.
  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.34)
    2.86
    (3.09)
    2.87
    (3.26)
    5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Unión will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 61.6%91.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Unión (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Barracas Central could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Barracas Central will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Barracas Central: Duarte M. (Inactive) Irazoque A. (Knee Injury) Kruger F. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
    27.05.2024 Unión Santa Fe - Barracas Central 2:0
    13.02.2023 Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe 1:1
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe944115:8716
    2Barracas Central943211:9215
    3Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    4Boca Juniors935112:6614
    5Central Cordoba935112:8414
    6Banfield94149:13-413
    7Belgrano93339:7212
    8Defensa y Justicia93339:8112
    9Tigre93338:7112
    10Huracan93335:8-312
    11Argentinos Jrs932410:8211
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi90361:12-113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4Lanus95139:8116
    5San Lorenzo93426:6013
    6Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    7Rosario Central82606:4212
    8Sarmiento Junin83328:9-112
    9Gimnasia L.P93156:9-310
    10Instituto92435:11-610
    11Platense82338:11-39
    12San Martin S.J92346:9-39
    13Godoy Cruz91538:11-38
    14Talleres Cordoba91444:9-57
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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