Bahia vs Mirassol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Bahia - Mirassol
Result
1:1
13/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 3
  • Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
Bahia - Mirassol - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.61
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
87% (429/491)86% (339/394)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.961.18
Total shots
175
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
80
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
428
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
87% (429/491)86% (339/394)
Long passes
54% (20/37)56% (20/36)
Passes in final third
85% (148/175)78% (50/64)
Crosses
17% (6/35)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.270.31
Fouls
1110
Tackles
38% (5/13)55% (11/20)
Duels won
4456
Clearances Total
736
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.180.96
Goals prevented
0.18-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', Kanu , David Duarte ,
  • 17', 0 - 1, Gabriel , Lucas Ramon (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Erick Pulga , Luciano Juba (A),
  • 43', Clayson 🟨,
  • 45+4', Joao Victor 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Jose Aldo , Roni ,
  • 64', Gabriel , Maceio ,
  • 64', Clayson , Iury Castilho ,
  • 65', Roni 🟨,
  • 66', Everton Ribeiro , Cauly ,
  • 67', Caio Alexandre 🟨,
  • 72', Iury Castilho 🟨,
  • 74', Gilberto 🟨,
  • 76', Gilberto , Arias S. ,
  • 76', Caio Alexandre , Erick ,
  • 76', Ademir , Kayky ,
  • 81', Daniel Borges , Reinaldo ,
  • 81', Cristian Renato , Edson Carioca ,
  • 90+5', Reinaldo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
62%
Draw
24%
Mirassol
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 23.9% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 23.4% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Bahia - Mirassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.58)
    3.97
    (3.93)
    6.69
    (5.64)
    5.3%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bahia - Mirassol?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bahia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mirassol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Bahia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Gabriel Xavier (Calf Injury) Michel Araujo (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Matheus Bianqui (Injury) Negueba (Inactive) PH (Injury) Roni (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Bahia
    06.04.2025 Santos - Bahia 2:2
    03.04.2025 Bahia - Internacional RS 1:1
    30.03.2025 Bahia - Corinthians 1:1
    26.03.2025 Bahia - Ceará 3:2
    Latest results of Mirassol
    06.04.2025 Mirassol - Fortaleza 1:1
    29.03.2025 Cruzeiro - Mirassol 2:1
    02.03.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 2:0
    23.02.2025 Mirassol - Palmeiras 2:3
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1273217:8924
    3Bragantino1272314:11323
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Bahia1263314:11321
    6Fluminense1162315:12320
    7Atletico-MG1255213:10320
    8Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    9Mirassol1145217:12517
    10Corinthians1244413:15-216
    11Gremio1244412:15-316
    12Ceara1143413:11215
    13Vasco1241714:16-213
    14Sao Paulo1226410:14-412
    15Santos1232711:14-311
    16Vitoria1225510:14-411
    17Internacional1225512:18-611
    18Fortaleza1224612:18-610
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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