AZ Alkmaar vs Roma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League AZ Alkmaar - Roma
Result
1:0
23/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)
AZ Alkmaar - Roma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.63
Ball Possession
36%64%
Goal Attempts
711
Shots on Goal
12
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
61
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
Free Kicks
1019
Offsides
10
Fouls
1910
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
1317
Touches in the Opposition Box
2335
Passes
77% (288/372)88% (578/655)
Passes in the final third
76% (99/131)76% (134/176)
Crosses
8% (1/13)22% (5/23)
Tackles
65% (13/20)33% (5/15)
Clearances Total
3717
Interceptions
99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Dovbyk A. 🟨,
  • 35', Hummels M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Dovbyk A. , Soule M. ,
  • 53', Meerdink M. 🟨,
  • 62', Koopmeiners P. , Belic K. ,
  • 62', Lahdo M. , Buurmeester Z. ,
  • 63', Goes W. 🟨,
  • 71', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
  • 72', Meerdink M. , Parrott T. ,
  • 72', Poku E. , Daal R. ,
  • 74', Saelemaekers A. , El Shaarawy S. ,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Parrott T. , Wolfe D. M. (A),
  • 85', Paredes L. , Baldanzi T. ,
  • 90+2', Belic K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
25.7%
Draw
28.4%
Roma
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 26.6% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 28.9% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.
  • Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • AZ Alkmaar - Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.73
    (3)
    3.39
    (3.6)
    2.08
    (2.3)
    4.3%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 6 - 9.4%). Roma will win (votes: 37 - 57.8%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 32.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 45.7%69.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Roma will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in AZ: Westerveld S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Roma: Cristante B. (Ankle Injury) Pellegrini Lo. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Kasius D. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    18.01.2025 Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar 0:0
    14.01.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Ajax 2:0
    11.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar 2:2
    21.12.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Twente 1:0
    18.12.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 3:1
    Latest results of Roma
    17.01.2025 Roma - Genoa 3:1
    12.01.2025 Bologna - Roma 2:2
    05.01.2025 Roma - Lazio 2:0
    29.12.2024 Milan - Roma 1:1
    22.12.2024 Roma - Parma 5:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    24ByeYoung Boys
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ByeYoung Boys
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 2
    6ByeYoung Boys
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 2
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 3
    21HackenBrann0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC0 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye
    3ByeYoung Boys
    4ByeSigma Olomouc
    5TBD #9Samsunspor
    6AberdeenTBD #12
    7ByeGenk
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
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