NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar
Result
3:3
29/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 27
  • Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.01
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
85% (359/421)85% (390/459)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.841.37
Total shots
159
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1432
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
99
Passes
85% (359/421)85% (390/459)
Long passes
35% (16/46)62% (28/45)
Passes in final third
70% (62/89)75% (117/156)
Crosses
24% (5/21)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.37
Fouls
99
Tackles
58% (14/24)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4452
Clearances Total
1724
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.371.84
Goals prevented
-1.63-1.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Sadiq I. , Goes W. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, van Crooij V. , Lyratzis L. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 2, Poku E. , Parrott T. (A),
  • 34', Belic K. 🟨,
  • 43', Linssen B. 🟨,
  • 43', Goes W. 🟨,
  • 45', Hansen S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 3, Parrott T. , Poku E. (A),
  • 57', Linssen B. , Shiogai K. ,
  • 58', Larsen L. O. , Sano K. ,
  • 63', 2 - 3, Shiogai K. , Ouwejan T. (A),
  • 70', Sadiq I. , Meerdink M. ,
  • 70', Belic K. , Smit K. ,
  • 71', 3 - 3, van Crooij V. , Hansen S. (A),
  • 76', Hansen S. , Ouaissa S. ,
  • 76', Sano K. 🟨,
  • 81', Martins Indi B. , Dekker M. ,
  • 81', Parrott T. , van Bommel R. ,
  • 83', Ouwejan T. , Onal B. ,
  • 84', Lyratzis L. , Pereira B. ,

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen 25.9%Draw 26.6%AZ Alkmaar 47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
NEC Nijmegen 28.2%Draw 26.1%AZ Alkmaar 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

NEC Nijmegen 27.9%Draw 25.8%AZ Alkmaar 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.64
    (3.35)
    3.54
    (3.61)
    2.01
    (2.07)
    5.6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Recently AZ have a series of guest games.
    • AZ will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in AZ: Daal R. (Inactive) Lahdo M. (Foot Injury) Mijnans S. (Muscle Injury) Penetra (Red Card) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nijmegen: Marquez I. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Schouten L. (Injury) van Bommel R. (Injury)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21:32 (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:17 (average 0.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    17.08.2024 AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    28.04.2024 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 0:3
    06.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen Abandoned
    21.05.2023 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 0:3
    01.09.2022 AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen 1:1
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    15.03.2025 Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen 0:1
    01.03.2025 Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen 0:0
    23.02.2025 Twente - NEC Nijmegen 2:0
    16.02.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Almere City 2:2
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ajax ✔ 31235363:273674
    2PSV31224593:355870
    3Feyenoord31198472:333965
    4Utrecht31188561:421962
    5Twente ✔ 31149858:441451
    6AZ Alkmaar ✔ 31148951:341750
    7G.A. Eagles ✔ 311381052:49347
    8Heerenveen311171339:53-1440
    9Groningen311081338:46-838
    10Sittard311061535:53-1836
    11Sparta Rotterdam318111234:39-535
    12Heracles318111238:56-1835
    13Nijmegen31971543:45-234
    14Zwolle318101338:49-1134
    15NAC Breda31881533:53-2032
    16Willem II31671831:51-2025
    17Almere City31481921:59-3820
    18Waalwijk31472036:68-3219

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    AZ Alkmaar is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    G.A. Eagles is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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