Ayr United vs Partick Thistle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Somerset Park (Ayr).

: Premiership - Relegation - Quarter-finals
Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.58	1.00
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
0	3
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
75% (279/373)	56% (141/253)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	1.10
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
0	3
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
4	6
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
13	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
13	16
Passes
75% (279/373)	56% (141/253)
Long passes
39% (26/67)	32% (29/90)
Passes in final third
67% (85/127)	41% (44/108)
Crosses
17% (5/29)	13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.35
Throw-ins
31	20
Fouls
16	13
Tackles
83% (5/6)	77% (20/26)
Duels won
33	70
Clearances
12	42
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
1.10	0.00
Goals prevented
-0.90	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Graham B. ⚽,
40', Turner K. ↓, Mackenzie Z. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Rus M. ↓, Henderson J. ↑,
56', McKenzie M. ↓, Main C. ↑,
63', Dempsey B. 🟨,
64', Henderson J. 🟨,
83', Stanway B. ↓, Jakubiak A. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Graham B. ⚽, Jakubiak A. (A),
90', Graham B. 🟨,
90', Watret D. ↓, Walker E. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Ayr United
45.1%

Draw
26.6%

Partick Thistle
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

27.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Partick Thistle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (-4%)

Ayr United - Partick Thistle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.94)	3.5 ↑ (3.42)	3.3 ↓ (3.79)	7.4% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Ayr United - Partick Thistle?

The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Ayr United will win! (5 of 6 users predict this).

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Ayr is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There are questionable in Ayr: McAllister N. (Injury)
There are questionable in Partick: Kelly S. (Injury) Martin S. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:40. (average 1.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.6:2.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Partick Thistle?

Ayr United has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Partick Thistle won against Ayr United?

Partick Thistle has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Partick Thistle were as follows:

06.05.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 0:1

15.03.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 2:0

25.01.2025 Ayr United - Partick Thistle 2:1

07.12.2024 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 1:0

14.09.2024 Ayr United - Partick Thistle 1:1

Latest results of Ayr United

06.05.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 0:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Airdrieonians - Ayr United 0:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Ayr United - Queens Park 2:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Livingston - Ayr United 5:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Ayr United - Falkirk 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Partick Thistle

06.05.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 0:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Livingston - Partick Thistle 0:1 ✺

25.04.2025 Partick Thistle - Falkirk 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Partick Thistle - Hamilton Academical 1:2 ✺

Scottish Premier League Table

Relegation Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hearts	36	13	7	16	49:46	3	46
8	Motherwell	36	13	6	17	42:62	-20	45
9	Kilmarnock	36	12	8	16	45:60	-15	44
10	Dundee FC	36	10	7	19	54:76	-22	37
11	Ross County	36	9	8	19	35:63	-28	35
12	St Johnstone	36	9	5	22	37:64	-27	32

Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Ayr United - Partick Thistle?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Net4+
Norway	Viaplay
Scotland	BBC Scotland
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, PTFC TV