Real Monarchs vs Austin II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zions Bank Stadium (Herriman, UT).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.40	0.43
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
8	7
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
90% (422/468)	87% (305/350)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.40	0.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.27	0.50
Total shots
8	7
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
4	4
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
10	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
9	19
Passes
90% (422/468)	87% (305/350)
Long passes
70% (21/30)	54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
86% (89/104)	62% (43/69)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.28	0.41
Throw-ins
15	16
Fouls
19	9
Tackles
74% (14/19)	87% (13/15)
Duels won
38	40
Clearances
19	13
Interceptions
2	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.50	0.27
Goals prevented
-0.50	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Dillon G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Anderson O. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Barea J. ⚽,
63', Bonachera R. ↓, Ciesla D. ↑,
63', Abarca D. ↓, Burton M. ↑,
63', Danciutiu V. ↓, Grogan P. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Farkarlun B. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
75', Charpie W. ↓, Calderon G. ↑,
75', Brook L. ↓, Touray O. ↑,
75', Anderson O. ↓, Marquez O. ↑,
75', Dillon G. ↓, Berrios D. ↑,
83', Hezarkhani A. ↓, Campaz B. ↑,
84', Mesalles R. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
87', Farkarlun B. ↓, Avila C. ↑,
90+2', Torres E. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
1, Marquez O. (Pen),
2, Ciesla D. (Pen),
2, Silva T. (Pen),
3, Alastuey J. (Pen),
3, Farnsworth Z. (Pen),
4, Gomez A. (Pen),
4, Henry K. (Pen),
5, Grogan P. (Pen),
5, Barea J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Real Monarchs
50%

Draw
25.1%

Austin II
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

24.9%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

25.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.

Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Monarchs - Austin II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.17)	3.73 ↑ (3.68)	3.76 ↑ (2.79)	6.9% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Real Monarchs - Austin II?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Real Monarchs (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Real Monarchs will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is .

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
Real Monarchs has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Austin II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Austin II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Real Monarchs might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Austin II?

Real Monarchs has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Austin II won against Real Monarchs?

Austin II has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Austin II were as follows:

05.07.2024 Austin II - Real Monarchs 2:0

02.06.2024 Real Monarchs - Austin II 4:0

30.06.2023 Real Monarchs - Austin II 0:0

02.06.2023 Austin II - Real Monarchs 3:0

Latest results of Real Monarchs

17.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 2:3 ✺

13.07.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1 ✺

06.07.2025 Real Monarchs - St. Louis City 2 1:3 ✺

29.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Real Monarchs 2:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Houston Dynamo 2 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Austin II

11.07.2025 Austin II - St. Louis City 2 2:4 ✺

04.07.2025 Austin II - Los Angeles II 4:1 ✺

27.06.2025 Austin II - Sporting Kansas City II 1:0 ✺

20.06.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Austin II 1:2 ✺

14.06.2025 North Texas - Austin II 1:2 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Philadelphia Union II	21	10	5	2	4	45:21	42
3	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
4	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
5	Toronto FC II	22	9	0	4	9	26:34	31
6	New York City II	21	7	2	4	8	40:43	29
7	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	21	4	1	3	13	24:44	17

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	20	10	4	2	4	44:23	40
2	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
3	Orlando City B	22	7	2	2	11	30:45	27
4	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
5	Crown Legacy	21	5	3	5	8	33:43	26
6	Inter Miami II	21	6	0	4	11	34:47	22
7	Atlanta United 2	19	4	2	6	7	27:32	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	19	11	2	2	4	48:26	39
2	Ventura County	21	10	2	3	6	43:38	37
3	Real Monarchs	19	7	4	3	5	35:32	32
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	21	7	3	1	10	44:42	28
5	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
6	Portland Timbers 2	20	6	2	3	9	32:38	25
7	Los Angeles FC II	20	6	2	1	11	33:45	23

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Colorado Rapids 2	22	11	1	4	6	44:34	39
3	Austin FC II	21	7	3	5	6	27:27	32
4	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
5	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
6	Houston Dynamo 2	22	7	3	2	10	32:36	29
7	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Philadelphia Union II	21	10	5	2	4	45:21	42
3	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
4	Huntsville	20	10	4	2	4	44:23	40
5	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
6	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
7	Toronto FC II	22	9	0	4	9	26:34	31
8	New York City II	21	7	2	4	8	40:43	29
9	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
10	Orlando City B	22	7	2	2	11	30:45	27
11	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
12	Crown Legacy	21	5	3	5	8	33:43	26
13	Inter Miami II	21	6	0	4	11	34:47	22
14	Atlanta United 2	19	4	2	6	7	27:32	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	21	4	1	3	13	24:44	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Town FC	19	11	2	2	4	48:26	39
3	Colorado Rapids 2	22	11	1	4	6	44:34	39
4	Ventura County	21	10	2	3	6	43:38	37
5	Real Monarchs	19	7	4	3	5	35:32	32
6	Austin FC II	21	7	3	5	6	27:27	32
7	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
8	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
9	Houston Dynamo 2	22	7	3	2	10	32:36	29
10	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	21	7	3	1	10	44:42	28
11	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
12	Portland Timbers 2	20	6	2	3	9	32:38	25
13	Los Angeles FC II	20	6	2	1	11	33:45	23
14	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

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