Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán
Result
1:0
01/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.70
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
88% (414/472)70% (206/296)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.080.01
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
109
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
88% (414/472)70% (206/296)
Long passes
53% (27/51)27% (17/62)
Passes in final third
75% (93/124)65% (66/101)
Crosses
23% (7/30)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.291.15
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
1211
Tackles
52% (12/23)72% (26/36)
Duels won
5769
Clearances
3729
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.010.08
Goals prevented
0.010.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Diaz L. 🟥,
  • 43', Garayalde N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Garayalde N. , Merlini B. ,
  • 49', Lamendola N. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Martinez D. (Own goal),
  • 59', Lamendola N. , Villa M. ,
  • 59', Martinez D. , Ruiz R. ,
  • 61', Jan Hurtado , Piedrahita A. ,
  • 61', Merlo J. , Lomonaco S. ,
  • 70', Torres M. , Max A. ,
  • 71', Coronel M. , Bajamich M. ,
  • 71', Godoy L. , Lopez K. ,
  • 79', Pintado J. , Corbalan F. ,
  • 81', Sanchez A. , Cabrera L. ,
  • 82', Silva Torrejon P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
36.3%
Draw
33.2%
Atlético Tucumán
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.4% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 29.1% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.2)
    2.86
    (3.2)
    3.09
    (3.4)
    6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.5%84.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gimnasia La Plata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gimnasia La Plata might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Briasco N. (Muscle Injury) Jan Hurtado (Muscle Injury) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Melluso M. (Muscle Injury) Piedrahita A. (Muscle Injury) Torres F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Ferreira Namandu C. D. (Red Card) Galvan I. (Muscle Injury) Infante J. (Knee Injury) Tesuri R. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1
    24.11.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán 1:0
    22.05.2024 Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata 1:2
    07.04.2024 Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata 3:2
    10.11.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán 1:2
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central742111:8314
    2Central Cordoba734010:4613
    3Boca Juniors73319:3612
    4Union de Santa Fe733110:5512
    5Defensa y Justicia73318:5312
    6Estudiantes L.P74038:8012
    7Huracan73225:6-111
    8Banfield73138:10-210
    9Argentinos Jrs72237:618
    10Ind. Rivadavia72238:9-18
    11Tigre72236:7-18
    12Belgrano72236:7-18
    13Newells Old Boys71336:8-26
    14Racing Club71156:12-64
    15Aldosivi70341:8-73


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate743014:41015
    2Velez Sarsfield74219:3614
    3Dep. Riestra74129:5413
    4San Lorenzo73315:3212
    5Rosario Central62404:2210
    6Gimnasia L.P73135:5010
    7Lanus73136:7-110
    8Atl. Tucuman72328:629
    9San Martin S.J72235:7-28
    10Godoy Cruz71337:10-36
    11Platense61325:8-36
    12Sarmiento Junin61325:9-46
    13Instituto71332:10-86
    14Talleres Cordoba71243:8-55
    15Independiente60334:7-33

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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