Result
2:1
28/09/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 28
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 415 | 497 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 329 | 410 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Fabinho 🟨,
- 26', Rubens 🟨,
- 45', Igor Gomes 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Raphael Veiga (Pen),
- 45+6', Murilo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Igor Gomes ↓, Cadu ↑,
- 61', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Hulk ⚽,
- 74', Felipe Anderson ↓, Rony ↑,
- 74', Mauricio ↓, Lazaro ↑,
- 80', Deyverson ↓, Eduardo Vargas ↑,
- 82', Fabinho ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Raphael Veiga (Pen),
- 90+1', Flaco Lopez ↓, Vitor Reis ↑,
- 90+1', Raphael Veiga ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 90+2', Rubens ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
61.2% | Draw
23.3% | Atlético Mineiro
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.63) |
4.06 ↑
(3.81) |
6.11 ↑
(5.45) |
5.7%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 2.
- Palmeiras in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Atlético MG is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Injury)
Estevao
(Injury)
Marcos Rocha
(Injury)
Mayke
(Injury)
Piquerez J.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Palmeiras to win the game is with odds 1.54.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 7 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-17.
- Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Atlético Mineiro?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Palmeiras?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
17.06.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Palmeiras
0:4
19.10.2023
Palmeiras
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:2
09.08.2023
Palmeiras
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
02.08.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Palmeiras
0:1
28.05.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Palmeiras
1:1
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:4 | 20 | 24 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Ceara | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Vasco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Santos | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Internacional | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 8 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | MEGOGO |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | Gol Stadium |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 World | Fanatiz, Sport 1 Baltic |
