Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid
Result
1:1 penalties
12/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.391.15
Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
1710
Shots on Goal
83
Shots off Goal
74
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
1010
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
Free Kicks
1611
Offsides
11
Fouls
1116
Yellow Cards
43
Throw-ins
1620
Touches in the Opposition Box
2944
Passes
86% (440/510)93% (790/854)
Passes in the final third
76% (99/131)87% (293/336)
Crosses
14% (4/28)19% (5/27)
Tackles
69% (24/35)76% (19/25)
Clearances Total
3629
Interceptions
1111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Gallagher C. ⚽, de Paul R. (A),
  • 39', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
  • 65', Tchouameni A. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
  • 65', Modric L. ↓, Lucas ↑,
  • 66', Simeone G. 🟨,
  • 68', Lenglet C. 🟨,
  • 70', Vinicius Junior (Pen),
  • 79', Rodrygo ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 83', Mendy F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
  • 85', Gallagher C. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
  • 89', Simeone G. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
  • 89', Griezmann A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
  • 90+4', de Paul R. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Lenglet C. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
  • 98', Mandava R. ↓, Azpilicueta C. ↑,
  • 113', Azpilicueta C. 🟨,
  • 115', Lucas 🟨,
  • 115', Llorente M. 🟨,
  • 115', Vinicius Junior ↓, Endrick ↑,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 1, Sorloth A. (Pen),
  • 2, Bellingham J. (Pen),
  • 2, Alvarez J. (Pen),
  • 3, Valverde F. (Pen),
  • 3, Correa A. (Pen),
  • 4, Lucas (Pen),
  • 4, Llorente M. (Pen),
  • 5, Rudiger A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid 35.5%Draw 27.4%Real Madrid 37.1%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Atlético Madrid 36.8%Draw 26.6%Real Madrid 36.6%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Atlético Madrid 37%Draw 26.7%Real Madrid 36.4%

Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.71 ↑
(2.61)		 3.51 ↓
(3.61)		 2.6 ↓
(2.63)		 3.8%
(4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)
    •
    What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 1.
    • Recent matches Atlético is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Real is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Atlético have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Vallejo J. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 27:32 (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1
    08.02.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1
    29.09.2024 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1
    04.02.2024 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1
    18.01.2024 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 4:2
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    09.03.2025 Getafe - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺
    25.02.2025 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 4:4 ✺
    22.02.2025 Valencia - Atlético Madrid 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    09.03.2025 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Betis - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺
    26.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 Real Madrid - Girona 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Juventus (20)PSV (14)1 : 3, 2 : 1
    2Arsenal (3)Bye
    3Manchester City (22)Real Madrid (11)1 : 3, 2 : 3
    4Atl. Madrid (5)Bye
    5Brest (18)PSG (15)0 : 7, 0 : 3
    6Liverpool (1)Bye
    7Club Brugge KV (24)Atalanta (9)3 : 1, 2 : 1
    8Aston Villa (8)Bye
    9Monaco (17)Benfica (16)3 : 3, 0 : 1
    10Barcelona (2)Bye
    11Sporting CP (23)Dortmund (10)0 : 0, 0 : 3
    12Lille (7)Bye
    13Celtic (21)Bayern Munich (12)1 : 1, 1 : 2
    14Bayer Leverkusen (6)Bye
    15Feyenoord (19)AC Milan (13)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    16Inter (4)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSV (14)Arsenal (3)2 : 2, 1 : 7
    2Real Madrid (11)Atl. Madrid (5)1 : 1, 2 : 1
    3PSG (15)Liverpool (1)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    4Club Brugge KV (24)Aston Villa (8)0 : 3, 1 : 3
    5Benfica (16)Barcelona (2)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    6Dortmund (10)Lille (7)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    7Bayern Munich (12)Bayer Leverkusen (6)2 : 0, 3 : 0
    8Feyenoord (19)Inter (4)1 : 2, 0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Arsenal (3)Real Madrid (11)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    2PSG (15)Aston Villa (8)2 : 3, 3 : 1
    3Barcelona (2)Dortmund (10)1 : 3, 4 : 0
    4Bayern Munich (12)Inter (4)2 : 2, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Arsenal (3)PSG (15)
    2Barcelona (2)Inter (4)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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