Atlético Madrid vs Lille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Atlético Madrid - Lille
Result
1:3
23/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
Atlético Madrid - Lille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.39
Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
119
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
01
Free Kicks
119
Corner Kicks
65
Offsides
12
Throw-ins
2624
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
911
Yellow Cards
32
Total Passes
553341
Completed Passes
472255
Crosses Completed
51
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. ,
  • 16', Cabella R. , Zhegrova E. ,
  • 17', Galan J. 🟨,
  • 44', Toure O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Toure O. , Diakite B. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Zhegrova E. , Meunier T. (A),
  • 65', Bayo M. , David J. ,
  • 65', Sorloth A. , Correa A. ,
  • 74', Simeone D. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 2, David J. (Pen),
  • 77', Molina N. , Simeone G. ,
  • 77', Gallagher C. , Lino S. ,
  • 77', Galan J. , Mandava R. ,
  • 78', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,
  • 78', Meunier T. 🟨,
  • 87', Mukau N. , Gomes A. ,
  • 88', Fernandez-Pardo M. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 89', Witsel A. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 3, David J. , Gudmundsson G. (A),

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
64.8%
Draw
21.5%
Lille
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.8% 21.9% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1% 23.4% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Atlético Madrid - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.5)
    4.45
    (4.36)
    7.1
    (6.7)
    3.5%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 58 - 80.6%). Lille will win (votes: 5 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 71.5%89.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Atlético is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lille is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Lille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Atlético is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético: Azpilicueta C. (Calf Injury) Barrios P. (Muscle Injury) Le Normand R. (Head Injury) Lenglet C. (Ankle Injury) Llorente M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Bakker M. (Thigh Injury) Bentaleb N. (Illness) Haraldsson H. (Leg Injury) Ismaily (Injury) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Latest results of Lille
    18.10.2024 Monaco - Lille 0:0
    05.10.2024 Lille - Toulouse 2:1
    02.10.2024 Lille - Real Madrid 1:0
    28.09.2024 Le Havre - Lille 0:3
    21.09.2024 Lille - Strasbourg 3:3
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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