Atlas vs Toluca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Atlas - Toluca
Result
2:3
12/04/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Huitron D. (Mex)
Atlas - Toluca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.46
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
82% (243/298)85% (355/419)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.452.39
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1824
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
82% (243/298)85% (355/419)
Long passes
55% (28/51)51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
61% (59/96)78% (98/126)
Crosses
25% (5/20)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.311.42
Fouls
1712
Tackles
50% (4/8)82% (18/22)
Duels won
2653
Clearances Total
1424
Interceptions
1216
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.392.45
Goals prevented
-0.610.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Paulinho , Ruiz M. (A),
  • 23', Rocha A. 🟨,
  • 24', Matheus Doria 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Paulinho , Dominguez Chonteco J. P. (A),
  • 29', Bruno Mendez 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 2, Aguirre E. ,
  • 39', Angulo J. 🟨,
  • 40', Paulinho 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, Aguirre E. , Djurdjevic U. (A),
  • 45+3', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Nervo H. 🟨,
  • 69', Bruno Mendez , Barbosa D. ,
  • 69', Dominguez Chonteco J. P. , Gallardo J. ,
  • 69', Violante I. , Helinho ,
  • 78', 2 - 3, Paulinho , Angulo J. (A),
  • 79', Nervo H. , Coccaro M. ,
  • 79', Gonzalez D. , Del Prete G. ,
  • 82', Vega A. , Luan ,
  • 90+4', Lozano J. , Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ,
  • 90+4', Rocha A. , Serrato J. ,
  • 90+6', Paulinho , Lopez I. ,
  • 90+7', Aguirre G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlas 27.4%Draw 25.2%Toluca 47.4%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Atlas 23.4%Draw 25.3%Toluca 51.2%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Atlas 22.6%Draw 24.4%Toluca 53%

Atlas - Toluca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.44
(4)
3.71
(3.7)
1.98
(1.83)
6.5%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlas - Toluca?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlas won 0.
    • Recent matches Atlas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Toluca is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Atlas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Toluca is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Del Prete G. (Knee Injury) Manotas M. (Knee Injury) Ortega E. (Suspended) Zaldivar E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlas: Flores L. (Muscle Injury) Lozano B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toluca: Briseno A. (Inactive) Herrera H. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlas won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 24:37 (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlas won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Toluca were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Toluca - Atlas 4:1
    07.04.2024 Toluca - Atlas 4:1
    26.08.2023 Atlas - Toluca 0:0
    01.02.2023 Atlas - Toluca 0:0
    Latest results of Atlas
    05.04.2025 Atlas - Juárez 1:1
    28.03.2025 Mazatlan - Atlas 3:2
    15.03.2025 Atlas - Club América 1:3
    09.03.2025 Tijuana - Atlas 3:4
    02.03.2025 Atlas - Atlético San Luis 3:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    06.04.2025 Toluca - Santos Laguna 2:1
    29.03.2025 Toluca - Pachuca 3:2
    14.03.2025 Puebla - Toluca 0:3
    08.03.2025 Toluca - Necaxa 5:2
    01.03.2025 Club América - Toluca 3:0
    Draw
    Clausura - Play In

    Semi-finals
    1Monterrey (7)Pachuca (8)
    4Juarez (9)UNAM Pumas (10)

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye
    2ByeTBD #4
    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlas - Toluca?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoCanal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaTUDN, Univision
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