Result
2:0
10/05/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (187/268) | 83% (404/486) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (187/268) | 83% (404/486) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/60) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (62/111) | 70% (87/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Valencia E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 13', Idrissi O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Simon S. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
- 46', Idrissi O. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Kenedy ⚽, Dominguez A. (A),
- 56', Bruno Mendez ↓, Briseno A. ↑,
- 56', Ruiz M. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 56', Castro N. ↓, Helinho ↑,
- 60', Barreto S. D. 🟨,
- 63', Rossi F. ↓, Cordova S. ↑,
- 68', Valencia E. ↓, Rondon S. ↑,
- 68', Montiel E. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
- 80', Kenedy ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
- 86', Guzman V. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pachuca
34.9% | Draw
27.5% | Toluca
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Pachuca - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↓
(3.13) |
3.4 ↓
(3.43) |
2.51 ↑
(2.24) |
6.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pachuca - Toluca?
- Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Toluca will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-0.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Pachuca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Toluca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Toluca: Gallardo J.
(International duty)
Vega A.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Pachuca: Mozo A.
(Broken Leg)
Sanchez C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Toluca: Virgen O.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:36. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Toluca?
Pachuca has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Pachuca?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Toluca were as follows:
03.05.2026
Toluca
-
Pachuca
0:1
22.03.2026
Pachuca
-
Toluca
1:1
26.10.2025
Toluca
-
Pachuca
2:2
29.03.2025
Toluca
-
Pachuca
3:2
17.09.2024
Pachuca
-
Toluca
2:2
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
2026/27 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Atl. San Luis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atlante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Tigres UANL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | UNAM Pumas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Queretaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Club Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Club Leon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Juarez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Pachuca - Toluca?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Mexico | FOX+, FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
