Atlanta United vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Atlanta United - Toronto FC
Result
0:0
24/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
Atlanta United - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.01
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
86% (383/447)85% (326/385)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.120.38
Total shots
612
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2019
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
917
Passes
86% (383/447)85% (326/385)
Long passes
45% (14/31)54% (25/46)
Passes in final third
76% (108/143)75% (93/124)
Crosses
17% (3/18)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.70
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
179
Tackles
86% (6/7)70% (16/23)
Duels won
2853
Clearances
3030
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.380.12
Goals prevented
0.380.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Amador P. , Lennon B. ,
  • 61', Muyumba T. , Alzate S. ,
  • 61', Lobjanidze S. , Thiare J. ,
  • 63', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 63', Long K. , Petretta R. ,
  • 65', Alzate S. 🟨,
  • 70', Gregersen S. 🟨,
  • 80', Corbeanu T. , Henry M. ,
  • 82', Almiron M. 🟨,
  • 84', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 86', Hernandez R. , Berrocal J. ,
  • 86', Almiron M. , Togashi C. ,
  • 90', Rosted S. , Thompson K. ,
  • 90', Dominguez M. , Etienne D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
55%
Draw
23.7%
Toronto FC
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 23.9% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 23.8% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United's performance.
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlanta United - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (2)
    4.01
    (3.98)
    4.49
    (3.33)
    5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 64.6%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
    • Atlanta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toronto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atlanta is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Amador P. (Hamstring Injury) Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Thiare J. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Toronto FC were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 1:1
    29.06.2024 Atlanta United - Toronto FC 2:1
    23.03.2024 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 2:0
    15.04.2023 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 2:2
    04.03.2023 Atlanta United - Toronto FC 1:1
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    16.08.2025 Toronto FC - Columbus Crew 1:1
    26.07.2025 Charlotte - Toronto FC 2:0
    19.07.2025 Nashville SC - Toronto FC 1:0
    16.07.2025 San Diego - Toronto FC 0:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlanta United - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 2
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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