New York City vs Atlanta United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York City - Atlanta United
Result
4:0
12/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New York City - Atlanta United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.81
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
86% (513/600)83% (389/467)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.890.57
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
68
Passes
86% (513/600)83% (389/467)
Long passes
50% (27/54)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
70% (90/128)65% (82/126)
Crosses
30% (3/10)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.61
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
86
Tackles
80% (12/15)33% (3/9)
Duels won
3129
Clearances
2027
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.571.89
Goals prevented
0.57-2.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Moralez M. , Wolf H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 0, Bakrar M. , Perea A. (A),
  • 57', 3 - 0, Wolf H. , Moralez M. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 0, Wolf H. , Haak J. (A),
  • 62', Hernandez R. , Abram L. ,
  • 62', Lobjanidze S. , Latte Lath E. ,
  • 62', Williams D. , Cobb N. ,
  • 73', Risa B. , O'Toole K. ,
  • 73', Tanasijevic S. , Gray T. ,
  • 73', Ojeda A. , Cavallo N. ,
  • 78', Bakrar M. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 78', Thiare J. , Brennan L. ,
  • 83', Fernandez J. , Shore J. ,
  • 88', Amador P. , Sessock N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
48.2%
Draw
25.8%
Atlanta United
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 25.6% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.1% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • New York City - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.94)
    3.65
    (3.71)
    3.64
    (3.75)
    5.8%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for New York City - Atlanta United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: New York City will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, NY City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in NY City: Freese M. (International duty) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Martinez A. (International duty) Parks K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J. (Groin Injury) Fortune A. (International duty) Mosquera E. (Thigh Injury) Muyumba T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Arroyave J. (Leg Injury) O'Toole K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, NY City won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Atlanta United were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Atlanta United - New York City 4:3
    17.07.2024 Atlanta United - New York City 2:2
    06.04.2024 New York City - Atlanta United 1:1
    21.06.2023 Atlanta United - New York City 2:2
    08.04.2023 New York City - Atlanta United 1:1
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6Los Angeles FC1885533:24929
    7San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Colorado Rapids22751024:33-926
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Inter Miami18105342:291335
    6Orlando City2197539:281134
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution2066826:25124
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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