New York City vs Atlanta United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York City - Atlanta United
Result
4:0
12/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New York City - Atlanta United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.81
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
86% (513/600)83% (389/467)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.890.57
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
68
Passes
86% (513/600)83% (389/467)
Long passes
50% (27/54)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
70% (90/128)65% (82/126)
Crosses
30% (3/10)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.61
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
86
Tackles
80% (12/15)33% (3/9)
Duels won
3129
Clearances
2027
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.571.89
Goals prevented
0.57-2.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Moralez M. , Wolf H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 0, Bakrar M. , Perea A. (A),
  • 57', 3 - 0, Wolf H. , Moralez M. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 0, Wolf H. , Haak J. (A),
  • 62', Hernandez R. , Abram L. ,
  • 62', Lobjanidze S. , Latte Lath E. ,
  • 62', Williams D. , Cobb N. ,
  • 73', Risa B. , O'Toole K. ,
  • 73', Tanasijevic S. , Gray T. ,
  • 73', Ojeda A. , Cavallo N. ,
  • 78', Bakrar M. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 78', Thiare J. , Brennan L. ,
  • 83', Fernandez J. , Shore J. ,
  • 88', Amador P. , Sessock N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
48.2%
Draw
25.8%
Atlanta United
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 25.6% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.1% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • New York City - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.94)
    3.65
    (3.71)
    3.64
    (3.75)
    5.8%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for New York City - Atlanta United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: New York City will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, NY City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in NY City: Freese M. (International duty) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Martinez A. (International duty) Parks K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J. (Groin Injury) Fortune A. (International duty) Mosquera E. (Thigh Injury) Muyumba T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Arroyave J. (Leg Injury) O'Toole K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, NY City won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Atlanta United were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Atlanta United - New York City 4:3
    17.07.2024 Atlanta United - New York City 2:2
    06.04.2024 New York City - Atlanta United 1:1
    21.06.2023 Atlanta United - New York City 2:2
    08.04.2023 New York City - Atlanta United 1:1
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 30175855:371856
    2Minnesota United ✔ 30159651:331854
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 28157654:312352
    4Seattle Sounders28129750:401045
    5Los Angeles FC27128749:351444
    6Portland Timbers29119938:39-142
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids301161340:49-939
    9San Jose Earthquakes30981355:55035
    10Real Salt Lake281041430:37-734
    11FC Dallas298101142:48-634
    12Houston Dynamo30891339:49-1033
    13Sporting Kansas City30761745:61-1627
    14St. Louis City30671736:51-1525
    15Los Angeles Galaxy29491635:58-2321


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 30176749:331657
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 30174944:37755
    3Charlotte ✔ 301721151:401153
    4Nashville SC301551050:351550
    5Columbus Crew291310648:43549
    6Orlando City29139755:411448
    7New York City28145941:33847
    8Inter Miami26137654:431146
    9Chicago Fire291261154:53142
    10New York Red Bulls301171243:40340
    11New England Revolution30881439:44-532
    12Toronto FC295111329:36-726
    13Atlanta Utd295111336:54-1826
    14DC United305101527:55-2825
    15CF Montreal30591629:53-2424

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of New York City - Atlanta United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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