Result
2:1
09/11/2024 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 33
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 78% | 22% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 653 | 176 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 588 | 124 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Godoy L. 🟨,
- 21', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Liziero ↑,
- 42', Erick 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 0, Luciano ⚽, Lucas Moura (A),
- 62', Felipinho 🟨,
- 66', Erick ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 66', Esquivel L. ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 67', Pablo ↓, Emersonn ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Julimar ⚽, Zapelli B. (A),
- 74', Lucas Moura 🟨,
- 75', Julimar 🟨,
- 77', Praxedes ↓, Gabriel ↑,
- 79', Marcos Antonio ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 80', Ferreirinha ↓, Wellington Rato ↑,
- 81', Lucas Belezi 🟨,
- 86', Franco A. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
- 86', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
- 87', Godoy L. ↓, Marcos Victor ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Andre Silva ⚽, Lewis J. (A),
- 90', Zubeldia L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Igor Vinicius 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
59.7% | Draw
24.9% | Athletico Paranaense
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.73) |
3.8 ↑
(3.58) |
6.1 ↑
(5.08) |
5.3%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 35% – 88%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 3.
- São Paulo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Athletico PR is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Alisson
(Injury)
Michel Araujo
(Injury)
Pablo Maia
(Injury)
Patryck
(Injury)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Christian
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Joao Moreira
(Muscle Injury)
Welington
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Canobbio A.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22:16 (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Athletico Paranaense?
São Paulo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against São Paulo?
Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
03.07.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
São Paulo
1:2
29.10.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
São Paulo
1:1
21.06.2023
São Paulo
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:4 | 20 | 24 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Ceara | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Vasco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Santos | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Internacional | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 8 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | MEGOGO |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol |
 Peru | L1 Max |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | Gol Stadium |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 World | El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz |
