Athletico Paranaense vs São Paulo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

06/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Athletico Paranaense
33.8%

Draw
32.2%

São Paulo
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

32%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

33.3%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.66)	2.84 ↓ (2.95)	2.74 ↓ (2.9)	7.8% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 0.
Athletico PR is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
São Paulo is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against São Paulo?

Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Athletico Paranaense?

São Paulo has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo were as follows:

31.07.2025 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1

09.11.2024 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1

03.07.2024 Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo 1:2

29.10.2023 Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo 1:1

21.06.2023 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1

Latest results of Athletico Paranaense

03.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu 1:1 ✺

31.07.2025 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1 ✺

27.07.2025 América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária 1:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Volta Redonda - Athletico Paranaense 3:2 ✺

Latest results of São Paulo

03.08.2025 Internacional RS - São Paulo 1:2 ✺

31.07.2025 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1 ✺

27.07.2025 São Paulo - Fluminense 3:1 ✺

24.07.2025 Juventude - São Paulo 0:1 ✺

19.07.2025 São Paulo - Corinthians 2:0 ✺

Draw

2025

1/64-finals

1	Sao Paulo	Bye
3	Maranhao	Vitoria	0 : 1
4	Santa Cruz de Natal	Nautico	0 : 4
5	Trem	Brusque	0 : 2
6	Olaria	ABC	1 : 0
7	Pouso Alegre	Athletico-PR	0 : 2
8	Guarany de Bage	AE Altos	2 : 1
9	Maringa FC	Juventude	1 : 0
10	Uniao Carmolandense	America RN	4 : 2
11	Tocantinopolis	Atletico-MG	0 : 2
12	Independencia	Manaus	1 : 2
13	Concordia	Ponte Preta	2 : 1
14	Portuguesa	Botafogo PB	1 : 2
16	Bye	Flamengo RJ
17	ASA	Atletico GO	1 : 2
18	Jequie	Retro	1 : 2
20	Bye	Fortaleza
21	Paysandu PA	Bye
24	Bye	Bahia
25	Aguia De Maraba	Fluminense	0 : 8
26	Dourados	SER Caxias	0 : 2
27	Cascavel	America MG	1 : 0
28	Votuporanguense	Aparecidense	2 : 3
29	Internacional	Bye
31	Ceilandia	Coritiba	3 : 2
32	Maracana	Ferroviario	2 : 1
33	Santos	Bye
36	Bye	CRB
37	Cruzeiro	Bye
39	Inter de Limeira	Vila Nova FC	0 : 1
40	Rio Branco-VN	Amazonas	1 : 0
41	Tuna Luso	Sampaio Correa	1 : 0
42	Boavista	CSA	0 : 2
43	Sao Raimundo RR	Gremio	1 : 2
44	Barcelona	Athletic Club	1 : 2
45	Humaita	Operario-PR	0 : 1
46	CSE	Tombense	1 : 3
47	Uniao Rondonopolis	Vasco	0 : 3
48	Barcelona RO	Nova Iguacu	1 : 4
49	Operario VG	Sport Recife	1 : 0
50	Rio Branco ES	Novorizontino	1 : 3
52	Bye	Corinthians
53	Sergipe	Ceara	0 : 2
54	Parnahyba	Confianca	0 : 5
56	Bye	Palmeiras
57	Botafogo RJ	Bye
59	Porto Velho	Cuiaba	1 : 0
60	Capital	Portuguesa RJ	1 : 0
61	Operario MS	Criciuma	0 : 1
62	GAS	Remo	0 : 4
63	Sousa	Bragantino	1 : 2
64	Oratorio	EC Sao Jose	1 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sao Paulo	Bye
2	Vitoria	Nautico	0 : 2
3	Brusque	Olaria	2 : 1
4	Athletico-PR	Guarany de Bage	3 : 1
5	Maringa FC	Uniao Carmolandense	4 : 2
6	Atletico-MG	Manaus	4 : 1
7	Concordia	Botafogo PB	0 : 4
8	Bye	Flamengo RJ
9	Atletico GO	Retro	1 : 2
10	Bye	Fortaleza
11	Paysandu PA	Bye
12	Bye	Bahia
13	Fluminense	SER Caxias	2 : 1
14	Cascavel	Aparecidense	0 : 1
15	Internacional	Bye
16	Ceilandia	Maracana	0 : 1
17	Santos	Bye
18	Bye	CRB
19	Cruzeiro	Bye
20	Vila Nova FC	Rio Branco-VN	6 : 0
21	Tuna Luso	CSA	0 : 5
22	Gremio	Athletic Club	4 : 3
23	Operario-PR	Tombense	1 : 0
24	Vasco	Nova Iguacu	3 : 0
25	Operario VG	Novorizontino	0 : 1
26	Bye	Corinthians
27	Ceara	Confianca	3 : 2
28	Bye	Palmeiras
29	Botafogo RJ	Bye
30	Porto Velho	Capital	1 : 3
31	Criciuma	Remo	2 : 1
32	Bragantino	EC Sao Jose	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Sao Paulo	Nautico	2 : 1, 2 : 1
2	Brusque	Athletico-PR	0 : 1, 0 : 0
3	Maringa FC	Atletico-MG	0 : 4, 2 : 2
4	Botafogo PB	Flamengo RJ	2 : 4, 0 : 1
5	Retro	Fortaleza	2 : 1, 1 : 1
6	Paysandu PA	Bahia	0 : 4, 0 : 1
7	Fluminense	Aparecidense	4 : 1, 1 : 0
8	Internacional	Maracana	3 : 0, 1 : 0
9	Santos	CRB	0 : 1, 1 : 1
10	Cruzeiro	Vila Nova FC	3 : 0, 2 : 0
11	CSA	Gremio	0 : 0, 3 : 2
12	Operario-PR	Vasco	1 : 2, 1 : 1
13	Novorizontino	Corinthians	0 : 1, 0 : 1
14	Ceara	Palmeiras	0 : 3, 0 : 1
15	Botafogo RJ	Capital	0 : 1, 4 : 0
16	Criciuma	Bragantino	0 : 6, 1 : 0

1/8-finals

1	Sao Paulo	Athletico-PR	2 : 1
2	Atletico-MG	Flamengo RJ	1 : 0
3	Retro	Bahia	2 : 3
4	Fluminense	Internacional	2 : 1
5	CRB	Cruzeiro	0 : 0
6	CSA	Vasco	0 : 0
7	Corinthians	Palmeiras	1 : 0
8	Botafogo RJ	Bragantino	2 : 0

Which TV channels are streaming of Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: