Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Reale Arena (San Sebastian).

: LaLiga - Round 34
Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	0.17
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
12	3
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
81% (406/503)	74% (260/352)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	0.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.28	0.01
Total shots
12	3
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
9	2
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
27	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
13	18
Passes
81% (406/503)	74% (260/352)
Long passes
45% (25/55)	38% (31/81)
Passes in final third
46% (38/82)	51% (39/76)
Crosses
20% (4/20)	8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.42	0.38
Throw-ins
23	20
Fouls
18	13
Tackles
60% (12/20)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
66	54
Clearances
19	25
Interceptions
11	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.01	0.28
Goals prevented
0.01	0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Berenguer A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Marin P. 🟨,
62', Williams I. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
62', Guruzeta G. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
62', Mendez B. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
62', Gomez S. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
62', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Jauregizar M. ↑,
74', Traore H. ↓, Aramburu J. ↑,
74', Prados Diaz B. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
78', Gorosabel A. 🟨,
82', Gomez U. ↓, Boiro A. ↑,
82', Kubo T. ↓, Becker S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Real Sociedad
38.2%

Draw
32.6%

Athletic Bilbao
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

30.4%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.43)	2.94 ↓ (3.22)	3.33 ↑ (3.16)	3.9% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Real Sociedad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Real Sociedad has had a series of away games.
Recently, Athletic has had a series of home games.
Real Sociedad could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Real Sociedad: Oskarsson O. (Muscle Injury) Zakharyan A. (Thigh Injury) Zubeldia I. (Groin Injury)
There will not play in Athletic: Sancet O. (Muscle Injury) Williams N. (Pelvis Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad won against Athletic Bilbao?

Real Sociedad has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Real Sociedad?

Athletic Bilbao has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:

24.11.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad 1:0

13.01.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad 2:1

30.09.2023 Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao 3:0

15.04.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad 2:0

14.01.2023 Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao 3:1

Latest results of Real Sociedad

23.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Villarreal - Real Sociedad 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Real Sociedad - Mallorca 0:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Las Palmas - Real Sociedad 1:3 ✺

01.04.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:4 ✺

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

01.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Manchester United 0:3 ✺

23.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Las Palmas 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺

17.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Glasgow Rangers 2:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 3:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona ✔	34	25	4	5	91:33	58	79
2	Real Madrid ✔	34	23	6	5	69:33	36	75
3	Atl. Madrid	34	19	10	5	56:27	29	67
4	Ath Bilbao	34	16	13	5	50:26	24	61
5	Villarreal	34	16	10	8	60:47	13	58
6	Betis	34	16	9	9	52:42	10	57
7	Celta Vigo	34	13	7	14	52:52	0	46
8	Rayo Vallecano	34	11	11	12	36:42	-6	44
9	Osasuna	34	10	14	10	42:50	-8	44
10	Mallorca	34	12	8	14	31:39	-8	44
11	Real Sociedad	34	12	7	15	32:37	-5	43
12	Valencia	34	10	12	12	40:51	-11	42
13	Getafe	34	10	9	15	31:31	0	39
14	Espanyol	34	10	9	15	36:44	-8	39
15	Girona	34	10	8	16	41:52	-11	38
16	Sevilla	34	9	11	14	37:46	-9	38
17	Alaves	34	8	11	15	35:46	-11	35
18	Las Palmas	34	8	8	18	40:56	-16	32
19	Leganes	34	6	13	15	32:51	-19	31
20	Valladolid ✔	34	4	4	26	25:83	-58	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Clinched Spots for Teams

Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	K-Sport 1
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online