Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid).

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 26
Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.24	1.44
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Goal Attempts
12	15
Shots on Goal
4	3
Shots off Goal
5	6
Blocked Shots
3	6
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Shots inside the Box
10	11
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	3
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
Free Kicks
8	7
Offsides
4	0
Fouls
7	8
Yellow Cards
1	3
Throw-ins
17	24
Touches in the Opposition Box
19	23
Passes
83% (405/486)	84% (400/479)
Passes in the final third
65% (60/93)	69% (72/104)
Crosses
43% (9/21)	32% (7/22)
Tackles
77% (17/22)	57% (8/14)
Clearances Total
19	21
Interceptions
10	13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Sorloth A. 🟨,
58', Simeone G. ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
59', Lino S. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
59', Sorloth A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
62', Gorosabel A. 🟨,
63', Griezmann A. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
63', Gomez U. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
64', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Prados Diaz B. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. ⚽, Llorente M. (A),
69', Barrios P. ↓, Gimenez J. M. ↑,
77', Berenguer A. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
77', Gorosabel A. ↓, de Marcos O. ↑,
81', Jauregizar M. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
87', Alvarez Y. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3re7jw6t

Chances of winning

Atlético Madrid
46.5%

Draw
28.4%

Athletic Bilbao
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

26.8%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.87)	3.4 ↓ (3.59)	3.85 ↓ (4.37)	3.3% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao?

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 61 - 78.2%). Athletic will win (votes: 7 - 9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 69% – 87.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 2.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Atlético will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Atlético: Azpilicueta C. (Injury) Koke (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Athletic: Sancet O. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Athletic: Djalo A. (Ankle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:23 (average 1.3:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:8 (average 1.7:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Athletic Bilbao?

Atlético Madrid has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Atlético Madrid?

Athletic Bilbao has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:

31.08.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 0:1

27.04.2024 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 3:1

29.02.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 3:0

07.02.2024 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 0:1

16.12.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 2:0

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

25.02.2025 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 4:4 ✺

22.02.2025 Valencia - Atlético Madrid 0:3 ✺

15.02.2025 Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo 1:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

04.02.2025 Atlético Madrid - Getafe 5:0 ✺

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

23.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Valladolid 7:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao 1:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Girona 3:0 ✺

02.02.2025 Betis - Athletic Bilbao 2:2 ✺

30.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Viktoria Plzeň 3:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Elche	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Ath Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Betis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Levante	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Girona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	R. Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Sport Online, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia