Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 38
- Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (404/471) | 85% (355/420) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 3.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (404/471) | 85% (355/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (15/47) | 63% (38/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (105/132) | 74% (89/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.31 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', Keita M. ↓, Bernabe A. ↑,
- 32', 1 - 0, Maldini D. ⚽, Bellanova R. (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Maldini D. ⚽, Retegui M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Palestra M. ↓, Posch S. ↑,
- 46', Maldini D. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
- 46', Hernani ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
- 46', Valeri E. ↓, Hainaut A. ↑,
- 48', Djimsiti B. 🟨,
- 49', 2 - 1, Hainaut A. ⚽,
- 55', Brescianini M. ↓, Ederson ↑,
- 58', Sulemana I. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Ondrejka J. ⚽, Bonny A. (A),
- 72', Bellanova R. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
- 78', Sohm S. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
- 88', Bonny A. ↓, Cancellieri M. ↑,
- 90', Balogh B. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Ondrejka J. ⚽, Bernabe A. (A),
Chances of winning
Atalanta
52.8% | Draw
25.7% | Parma
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Atalanta - Parma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.88) |
3.76 ↓
(3.78) |
4.45 ↑
(4.02) |
4.2%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Parma?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Parma (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH -1.5 - Atalanta (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Atalanta will win
(49 of 55 users predict this - 89.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.85% – 97.33%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
- Atalanta is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 4.
- Atalanta has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Parma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Parma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atalanta is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Atalanta: Cuadrado J.
(Thigh Injury)
Kolasinac S.
(Knee Injury)
Scalvini G.
(Shoulder Injury)
Scamacca G.
(Thigh Injury)
Toloi R.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Parma: Charpentier G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kowalski M.
(Knee Injury)
Leoni G.
(Knee Injury)
Osorio Y.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Parma: Cancellieri M.
(Thigh Injury)
Mihaila V.
(Thigh Injury)
- We predict that Atalanta will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 2.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Parma?
Atalanta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Atalanta?
Parma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Parma were as follows:
23.11.2024
Parma
-
Atalanta
1:3
04.08.2024
Parma
-
Atalanta
4:1
Latest results of Atalanta
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Atalanta - Parma?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, SuperSport OTT 2, ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport News |
 Angola | Z Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Italy | 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SuperSport OTT 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
