Atalanta vs Inter Milan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo).

ITALY: Serie A - Round 29
Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	2.39
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Goal Attempts
16	14
Shots on Goal
3	5
Shots off Goal
7	6
Blocked Shots
6	3
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
2	6
Shots inside the Box
9	11
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
Free Kicks
14	11
Offsides
0	3
Fouls
11	14
Yellow Cards
3	3
Red Cards
1	1
Throw-ins
15	15
Touches in the Opposition Box
24	21
Passes
82% (366/445)	83% (379/455)
Passes in the final third
75% (105/140)	74% (78/106)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	18% (3/17)
Tackles
56% (10/18)	85% (11/13)
Clearances Total
21	30
Interceptions
6	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Bellanova R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Carlos Augusto ⚽, Calhanoglu H. (A),
59', Bellanova R. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
59', Pasalic M. ↓, De Ketelaere C. ↑,
66', Dumfries D. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,
74', Retegui M. ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
74', Djimsiti B. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
75', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
79', Bastoni A. 🟨,
81', Ederson 🟨,
81', Ederson 🟨,
83', Lookman A. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
86', Pavard B. 🟨,
87', 0 - 2, Martinez L. ⚽, Barella N. (A),
88', Gasperini G. 🟥,
90+1', Thuram M. ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
90+1', Martinez L. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
90+1', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Asllani K. ↑,
90+5', Bastoni A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Atalanta 37%

Draw 28.9%

Inter Milan 34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Atalanta 36.4%

Draw 27.5%

Inter Milan 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Atalanta 37.3%

Draw 28.2%

Inter Milan 35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Atalanta - Inter Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.63)	3.31 ↓ (3.48)	2.81 ↑ (2.65)	4.3% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Atalanta - Inter Milan?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 0.
Recent matches Atalanta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Inter is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Inter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Atalanta: Cuadrado J. (Thigh Injury) Kossounou O. (Thigh Injury) Manzoni A. (Inactive) Posch S. (Thigh Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Inactive) Tornaghi P. (Inactive)
There will not play in Inter: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Darmian M. (Thigh Injury) Zalewski N. (Calf Injury) Zielinski P. (Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Inter: Dimarco F. (Thigh Injury) de Vrij S. (Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 17:38 (average 0.9:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Inter Milan?

Atalanta has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Inter Milan won against Atalanta?

Inter Milan has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Inter Milan were as follows:

02.01.2025 Inter Milan - Atalanta 2:0

30.08.2024 Inter Milan - Atalanta 4:0

28.02.2024 Inter Milan - Atalanta 4:0

04.11.2023 Atalanta - Inter Milan 1:2

27.05.2023 Inter Milan - Atalanta 3:2

Latest results of Atalanta

09.03.2025 Juventus - Atalanta 0:4 ✺

01.03.2025 Atalanta - Venezia 0:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Empoli - Atalanta 0:5 ✺

18.02.2025 Atalanta - Club Brugge 1:3 ✺

15.02.2025 Atalanta - Cagliari 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Inter Milan

11.03.2025 Inter Milan - Feyenoord 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Inter Milan - Monza 3:2 ✺

05.03.2025 Feyenoord - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Napoli - Inter Milan 1:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Inter Milan - Lazio 2:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Napoli	34	22	8	4	54:25	29	74
2	Inter	34	21	8	5	72:33	39	71
3	Atalanta	34	19	8	7	67:31	36	65
4	Juventus	34	16	14	4	51:31	20	62
5	Bologna	34	16	13	5	52:37	15	61
6	AS Roma	34	17	9	8	49:32	17	60
7	Lazio	34	17	9	8	57:45	12	60
8	Fiorentina	34	17	8	9	53:34	19	59
9	AC Milan	34	15	9	10	53:38	15	54
10	Torino	35	10	14	11	39:40	-1	44
11	Como	34	11	9	14	44:48	-4	42
12	Udinese	34	11	8	15	36:48	-12	41
13	Genoa	34	9	12	13	29:41	-12	39
14	Cagliari	34	8	9	17	35:49	-14	33
15	Verona	34	9	5	20	30:62	-32	32
16	Parma	34	6	14	14	40:53	-13	32
17	Lecce	34	6	9	19	24:56	-32	27
18	Venezia	35	4	14	17	28:49	-21	26
19	Empoli	34	4	13	17	27:54	-27	25
20	Monza ✔	34	2	9	23	25:59	-34	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Clinched Spots for Teams

Monza is Relegated to Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Atalanta - Inter Milan?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 2, ART Sport 2
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	ICE Sports
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2, Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball