Manchester United vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Old Trafford (Manchester).

: Premier League - Round 38
Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.86	0.40
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
24	6
Shots on target
10	1
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
88% (524/593)	73% (212/291)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.86	0.40
xG on target (xGOT)
3.11	0.04
Total shots
24	6
Shots on target
10	1
Shots off target
13	2
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
13	4
Shots outside the Box
12	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
51	18
Accurate through passes
3	0
Offsides
5	3
Free Kicks
10	10
Passes
88% (524/593)	73% (212/291)
Long passes
67% (32/48)	31% (18/58)
Passes in final third
81% (185/228)	60% (50/84)
Crosses
35% (6/17)	0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.93	0.27
Throw-ins
12	8
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
79% (15/19)	56% (5/9)
Duels won
47	39
Clearances
24	20
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	8
xGOT faced
0.04	3.11
Goals prevented
0.04	1.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Mazraoui N. ↓, Dalot D. ↑,
45+1', Martinez E. 🟥,
45+1', Diallo A. 🟨,
45+4', Asensio M. ↓, Olsen R. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Dalot D. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
62', McGinn J. ↓, Tielemans Y. ↑,
63', Onana A. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
67', Heaven A. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
67', Mount M. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
73', Kamara B. 🟨,
76', 1 - 0, Diallo A. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
81', Rogers M. 🟨,
81', Hojlund R. ↓, Obi C. ↑,
84', Kamara B. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
84', Rogers M. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Eriksen C. (Pen),
90+4', Casemiro 🟨,

Chances of winning

Manchester United
20.9%

Draw
22.4%

Aston Villa
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

25.5%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

25.2%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchester United's form might have worsened.

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manchester United - Aston Villa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (3.55)	4.3 ↑ (3.78)	1.7 ↓ (2.03)	3.8% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Manchester United - Aston Villa?

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (120 of 133 users predict this - 90.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.18% – 95.28%. The data is statistically significant.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (32 of 35 users predict this - 91.43%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 4.
Man Utd is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Aston Villa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Aston Villa is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) de Ligt M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Aston Villa: Rashford M. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 2.1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United won against Aston Villa?

Manchester United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Manchester United?

Aston Villa has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Aston Villa were as follows:

06.10.2024 Aston Villa - Manchester United 0:0

11.02.2024 Aston Villa - Manchester United 1:2

26.12.2023 Manchester United - Aston Villa 3:2

10.11.2022 Manchester United - Aston Villa 4:2

06.11.2022 Aston Villa - Manchester United 3:1

Latest results of Manchester United

21.05.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United 1:0 ✺

16.05.2025 Chelsea - Manchester United 1:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Manchester United - West Ham United 0:2 ✺

08.05.2025 Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao 4:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Brentford - Manchester United 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Aston Villa

16.05.2025 Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur 2:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Bournemouth - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Aston Villa - Fulham 1:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Crystal Palace - Aston Villa 3:0 ✺

22.04.2025 Manchester City - Aston Villa 2:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86:41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69:34	35	74
3	Manchester City	38	21	8	9	72:44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64:43	21	69
5	Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68:47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58:51	7	66
7	Nottingham	38	19	8	11	58:46	12	65
8	Brighton	38	16	13	9	66:59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58:46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66:57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54:54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51:51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42:44	-2	48
14	West Ham	38	11	10	17	46:62	-16	43
15	Manchester Utd	38	11	9	18	44:54	-10	42
16	Wolves	38	12	6	20	54:69	-15	42
17	Tottenham	38	11	5	22	64:65	-1	38
18	Leicester	38	6	7	25	33:80	-47	25
19	Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36:82	-46	22
20	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26:86	-60	12

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Manchester United - Aston Villa?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, One Africa, Showmax, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	Play Sports Premier league, Play Sports Premier league
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Botswana	YTV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	fubo Sports Network 6 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 8
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	Canal+ Live 7
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Guinea	CIS
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Siminn Sport 2, Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports 3
Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv, K24
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport NOW
Nigeria	SuperSport Blitz
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 6
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Tanzania	UTV
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Uganda	NBS Sport 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CNBC, Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 2, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON
Zambia	ZNBC 1