Manchester United vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League Manchester United - Aston Villa
Result
2:0
25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 38
  • Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
Manchester United - Aston Villa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.40
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
246
Shots on target
101
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (524/593)73% (212/291)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.40
xG on target (xGOT)
3.110.04
Total shots
246
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
132
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
122
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
5118
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
88% (524/593)73% (212/291)
Long passes
67% (32/48)31% (18/58)
Passes in final third
81% (185/228)60% (50/84)
Crosses
35% (6/17)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.930.27
Throw-ins
128
Fouls
1010
Tackles
79% (15/19)56% (5/9)
Duels won
4739
Clearances
2420
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
18
xGOT faced
0.043.11
Goals prevented
0.041.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Mazraoui N. , Dalot D. ,
  • 45+1', Martinez E. 🟥,
  • 45+1', Diallo A. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Asensio M. , Olsen R. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Dalot D. , Mainoo K. ,
  • 62', McGinn J. , Tielemans Y. ,
  • 63', Onana A. , Ramsey J. ,
  • 67', Heaven A. , Evans J. ,
  • 67', Mount M. , Eriksen C. ,
  • 73', Kamara B. 🟨,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Diallo A. , Fernandes B. (A),
  • 81', Rogers M. 🟨,
  • 81', Hojlund R. , Obi C. ,
  • 84', Kamara B. , Barkley R. ,
  • 84', Rogers M. , Malen D. ,
  • 87', 2 - 0, Eriksen C. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Casemiro 🟨,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
20.9%
Draw
22.4%
Aston Villa
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 25.5% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 25.2% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchester United's form might have worsened.
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manchester United - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.62
    (3.55)
    4.3
    (3.78)
    1.7
    (2.03)
    3.8%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Manchester United - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (120 of 133 users predict this - 90.23%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.18%95.28%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (32 of 35 users predict this - 91.43%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 4.
    • Man Utd is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Aston Villa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Aston Villa is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) de Ligt M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Rashford M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Aston Villa were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Aston Villa - Manchester United 0:0
    11.02.2024 Aston Villa - Manchester United 1:2
    26.12.2023 Manchester United - Aston Villa 3:2
    10.11.2022 Manchester United - Aston Villa 4:2
    06.11.2022 Aston Villa - Manchester United 3:1
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    English Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool38259486:414584
    2Arsenal382014469:343574
    3Manchester City38218972:442871
    4Chelsea38209964:432169
    5Newcastle382061268:472166
    6Aston Villa381991058:51766
    7Nottingham381981158:461265
    8Brighton381613966:59761
    9Bournemouth3815111258:461256
    10Brentford381681466:57956
    11Fulham381591454:54054
    12Crystal Palace3813141151:51053
    13Everton3811151242:44-248
    14West Ham3811101746:62-1643
    15Manchester Utd381191844:54-1042
    16Wolves381262054:69-1542
    17Tottenham381152264:65-138
    18Leicester38672533:80-4725
    19Ipswich384102436:82-4622
    20Southampton38263026:86-6012

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Manchester United - Aston Villa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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