Manchester City vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League
Soccer English Premier League Manchester City - Aston Villa
Result
2:1
22/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 34
  • Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
Manchester City - Aston Villa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.68
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
90% (430/478)81% (245/301)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.421.23
Total shots
147
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
2423
Through passes
0% (0/1)50% (1/2)
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
109
Passes
90% (430/478)81% (245/301)
Long passes
40% (14/35)48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
80% (131/163)63% (38/60)
Crosses
38% (9/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.35
Fouls
910
Tackles
58% (7/12)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3441
Clearances Total
1523
Interceptions
42
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.231.42
Goals prevented
0.23-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Silva B. ⚽,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Rashford M. (Pen),
  • 19', Guardiola P. 🟨,
  • 35', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Rogers M. 🟨,
  • 61', Cash M. ↓, Disasi A. ↑,
  • 61', Ramsey J. ↓, McGinn J. ↑,
  • 70', Gvardiol J. 🟨,
  • 74', McAtee J. ↓, Doku J. ↑,
  • 76', Rashford M. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
  • 76', Onana A. ↓, Asensio M. ↑,
  • 77', Nunes M. 🟨,
  • 85', Watkins O. 🟨,
  • 86', Rogers M. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
  • 86', Silva B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Nunes M. ⚽, Doku J. (A),
  • 90+6', De Bruyne K. ↓, Akanji M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Manchester City
50.4%		Draw
24.4%		Aston Villa
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 22.3% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 21.4% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchester City's form might have worsened.
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
    •

    Manchester City - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.9 ↑
    (1.72)    		 3.94 ↓
    (4.29)    		 3.82 ↓
    (4.36)    		 4%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Manchester City - Aston Villa?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Man City won 2.
    • Man City in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Aston Villa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Aston Villa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Man City is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Man City: Ake N. (Ankle Injury) Ederson (Groin Injury) Haaland E. (Ankle Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Stones J. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Man City won 15 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 49:17 (average 2.5:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Man City won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 26:6 (average 3.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Aston Villa were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Aston Villa - Manchester City 2:1
    03.04.2024 Manchester City - Aston Villa 4:1
    06.12.2023 Aston Villa - Manchester City 1:0
    12.02.2023 Manchester City - Aston Villa 3:1
    03.09.2022 Aston Villa - Manchester City 1:1
    Latest results of Manchester City
    19.04.2025 Everton - Manchester City 0:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Manchester City - Crystal Palace 5:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Manchester United - Manchester City 0:0 ✺
    02.04.2025 Manchester City - Leicester City 2:0 ✺
    30.03.2025 Bournemouth - Manchester City 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    19.04.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 4:1 ✺
    15.04.2025 Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain 3:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Southampton - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺
    09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 2:1 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool ✔ 36258383:374683
    2Arsenal361814466:333368
    3Newcastle362061068:452366
    4Chelsea37199963:432066
    5Aston Villa37199958:49966
    6Manchester City36198967:432465
    7Nottingham361881056:441262
    8Brentford361671363:531055
    9Brighton361413959:56355
    10Bournemouth3614111155:431253
    11Fulham361491351:50151
    12Crystal Palace3612131146:48-249
    13Everton369151239:44-542
    14Wolves361251951:64-1341
    15West Ham3610101642:59-1740
    16Manchester Utd371091842:54-1239
    17Tottenham371152163:61238
    18Ipswich ✔ 364102235:77-4222
    19Leicester ✔ 36572431:78-4722
    20Southampton ✔ 36262825:82-5712

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Liverpool is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Ipswich is Relegated to Championship
    Leicester is Relegated to Championship
    Southampton is Relegated to Championship
    Which TV channels are streaming of Manchester City - Aston Villa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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