Lille vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Lille - Aston Villa
Result
2:2 penalties
18/04/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)
Lille - Aston Villa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.64
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
139
Shots on Goal
46
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
22
Free Kicks
1320
Corner Kicks
77
Offsides
31
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Fouls
1713
Yellow Cards
57
Total Passes
548514
Completed Passes
498441
Tackles
1310
Attacks
11083
Dangerous Attacks
6236
Crosses Completed
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Yazici Y. , Gudmundsson G. (A),
  • 21', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
  • 28', Zaniolo N. , Rogers M. ,
  • 39', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 42', Bentaleb N. 🟨,
  • 44', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 44', Fonseca P. 🟨,
  • 44', Emery U. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 62', Santos T. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Andre B. , Haraldsson H. (A),
  • 70', Diaby M. , Bailey L. ,
  • 76', Rogers M. 🟨,
  • 77', Haraldsson H. , Gomes A. ,
  • 80', McGinn J. , Duran J. ,
  • 86', Yazici Y. , Cavaleiro I. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Cash M. ,
  • 90+1', Duran J. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Gudmundsson G. , Cabella R. ,
  • 109', Watkins O. 🟨,
  • 117', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Tielemans Y. (Pen),
  • 1, Bentaleb N. (Pen),
  • 2, Watkins O. (Pen),
  • 2, David J. (Pen),
  • 3, Cash M. (Pen),
  • 3, Gomes A. (Pen),
  • 4, Bailey L. (Pen),
  • 4, Cabella R. (Pen),
  • 5, Douglas Luiz (Pen),
  • 5, Andre B. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lille
37.7%
Draw
26.4%
Aston Villa
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 24.7% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 26.4% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aston Villa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lille - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.65)
    3.62
    (3.9)
    2.66
    (2.48)
    4.6%
    (3.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Aston Villa?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches Lille is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aston Villa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Aston Villa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Lille: Fernandes R. (Injury) Ilic A. (Calf Injury) Miramon I. (Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Buendia E. (Knee Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Mings T. (Knee Injury) Moreno A. (Calf Injury) Ramsey J. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Aston Villa were as follows:
    11.04.2024 Aston Villa - Lille 2:1
    Latest results of Lille
    11.04.2024 Aston Villa - Lille 2:1
    29.03.2024 Lille - Lens 2:1
    17.03.2024 Brest - Lille 1:1
    14.03.2024 Lille - Sturm Graz 1:1
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Gent (17)Betis (15)1 : 0, 0 : 3
    2Vitoria Guimaraes (2)Bye
    3TSC (24)Jagiellonia (9)1 : 3, 1 : 3
    4Cercle Brugge KSV (8)Bye
    5Celje (21)APOEL (11)2 : 0, 2 : 2
    6Lugano (6)Bye
    7Vikingur Reykjavik (19)Panathinaikos (13)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    8Fiorentina (3)Bye
    9FC Copenhagen (18)Heidenheim (16)3 : 1, 1 : 2
    10Chelsea (1)Bye
    11Molde (23)Shamrock Rovers (10)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    12Legia (7)Bye
    13Omonia (22)Pafos (12)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    14Djurgarden (5)Bye
    15Borac Banja Luka (20)O. Ljubljana (14)0 : 0, 1 : 0
    16SK Rapid (4)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Betis (15)Vitoria Guimaraes (2)4 : 0, 2 : 2
    2Jagiellonia (9)Cercle Brugge KSV (8)0 : 2, 3 : 0
    3Celje (21)Lugano (6)5 : 5, 1 : 0
    4Panathinaikos (13)Fiorentina (3)1 : 3, 3 : 2
    5FC Copenhagen (18)Chelsea (1)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    6Molde (23)Legia (7)0 : 2, 3 : 2
    7Pafos (12)Djurgarden (5)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    8Borac Banja Luka (20)SK Rapid (4)1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Betis (15)Jagiellonia (9)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2Celje (21)Fiorentina (3)2 : 2, 1 : 2
    3Chelsea (1)Legia (7)1 : 2, 3 : 0
    4Djurgarden (5)SK Rapid (4)4 : 1, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Betis (15)Fiorentina (3)2 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Chelsea (1)Djurgarden (5)1 : 0, 4 : 1

    Final
    1Betis (15)Chelsea (1)
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