Result
2:1 penalties
16/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Brentford - Aston Villa live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (353/420) | 89% (435/491) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (353/420) | 89% (435/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 43% (16/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (40/67) | 85% (125/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Guessand E. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Elliott H. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Janelt V. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
- 52', Ajer K. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Hickey A. ⚽,
- 67', Elliott H. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
- 67', Malen D. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
- 68', Milambo A. ↓, Nelson R. ↑,
- 68', Bogarde L. 🟨,
- 74', Sancho J. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
- 74', Bogarde L. ↓, Kamara B. ↑,
- 78', Ouattara Da. ↓, Damsgaard M. ↑,
- 78', Hickey A. ↓, Kayode M. ↑,
- 80', Guessand E. ↓, Jimoh-Aloba J. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, McGinn J. (Pen),
- 1, Carvalho F. (Pen),
- 2, Watkins O. (Pen),
- 2, Nelson R. (Pen),
- 3, Buendia E. (Pen),
- 3, Yarmolyuk Y. (Pen),
- 4, Cash M. (Pen),
- 4, Damsgaard M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Brentford
22.9% | Draw
26.2% | Aston Villa
51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brentford's form might have worsened.Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brentford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brentford - Aston Villa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.66 ↑
(2.83) |
3.9 ↑
(3.58) |
2.02 ↓
(2.34) |
-3.5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brentford - Aston Villa?
Users Predictions:
Brentford will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brentford will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Brentford: Gustavo Nunes
(Hamstring Injury)
Maghoma P.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Garcia A.
(Knock)
Kamara B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Onana A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Brentford won against Aston Villa?
Brentford has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Brentford?
Aston Villa has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brentford - Aston Villa were as follows:
23.08.2025
Brentford
-
Aston Villa
1:0
08.03.2025
Brentford
-
Aston Villa
0:1
04.12.2024
Aston Villa
-
Brentford
3:1
06.04.2024
Aston Villa
-
Brentford
3:3
17.12.2023
Brentford
-
Aston Villa
1:2
Latest results of Brentford
Latest results of Aston Villa
Draw
Main1/64-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 5 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 9 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 13 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 15 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 20 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 21 | Sunderland | Bye | |
| 22 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 25 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 27 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 29 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 31 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
| 32 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
| 33 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
| 34 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 35 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
| 37 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 38 | Bye | West Ham | |
| 39 | Everton | Bye | |
| 40 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
| 41 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 43 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
| 44 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
| 45 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 46 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
| 49 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
| 50 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
| 51 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
| 53 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
| 54 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
| 55 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
| 57 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
| 58 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 59 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 61 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 62 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 3 | Swansea | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 5 | Burton | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 7 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 8 | Accrington | Doncaster | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 11 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 13 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 14 | Norwich | Southampton | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 16 | Stoke | Bradford City | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 19 | Wolves | West Ham | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Everton | Mansfield | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 22 | Millwall | Coventry | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Burnley | Derby | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | 3 : 0 |
| 25 | Preston | Wrexham | 2 : 3 |
| 26 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Wigan | Stockport County | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Bromley | Wycombe | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Barnsley | Rotherham | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 31 | Fulham | Bristol City | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Port Vale | Arsenal | |
| 2 | Swansea | Nottingham | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Lincoln | Chelsea | |
| 4 | Tottenham | Doncaster | |
| 5 | Brentford | Aston Villa | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | |
| 7 | Liverpool | Southampton | |
| 8 | Newcastle | Bradford City | |
| 9 | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Wolves | Everton | |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | Millwall | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Burnley | Cardiff | |
| 13 | Wrexham | Reading | |
| 14 | Wigan | Wycombe | |
| 15 | Barnsley | Brighton | |
| 16 | Fulham | Cambridge Utd | |
Which TV channels are streaming of Brentford - Aston Villa?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport Variety 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Variety 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
