Aston Villa vs Bologna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League
Soccer UEFA Europa League Aston Villa - Bologna
Result
1:0
25/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
Aston Villa - Bologna - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.10
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
79% (271/341)82% (312/379)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.211.26
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3427
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
29
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
79% (271/341)82% (312/379)
Long passes
41% (17/41)52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
62% (42/68)72% (71/98)
Crosses
15% (2/13)38% (10/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.571.30
Throw-ins
1320
Fouls
1614
Tackles
60% (9/15)52% (12/23)
Duels won
5060
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
1.261.21
Goals prevented
1.260.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, McGinn J. ⚽,
  • 42', Cash M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Malen D. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
  • 58', Buendia E. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
  • 67', Vitik M. 🟨,
  • 67', Lucumi J. 🟨,
  • 68', Watkins O. (Pen),
  • 70', Zortea N. ↓, Holm E. ↑,
  • 70', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
  • 70', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
  • 71', McGinn J. 🟨,
  • 74', Maatsen I. ↓, Digne L. ↑,
  • 83', Odgaard J. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
  • 83', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
53.1%		Draw
27.4%		Bologna
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 25.2% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 24.3% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
    •

    Aston Villa - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.82 ↑
    (1.72)    		 3.49 ↓
    (3.79)    		 4.89 ↓
    (4.93)    		 4.1%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 32 - 72.7%). Bologna will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 59.5% – 85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Aston Villa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Bologna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Aston Villa is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Garcia A. (Knock) Onana A. (Hamstring Injury) Tielemans Y. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Casale N. (Thigh Injury) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury) Pobega T. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aston Villa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Aston Villa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Bologna were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Aston Villa - Bologna 2:0
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    21.09.2025 Sunderland - Aston Villa 1:1 ✺
    16.09.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 2:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Everton - Aston Villa 0:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Aston Villa - Crystal Palace 0:3 ✺
    23.08.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Bologna
    20.09.2025 Bologna - Genoa 2:1 ✺
    14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Bologna - Como 1:0 ✺
    23.08.2025 Roma - Bologna 1:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Bologna - OFI 2:4
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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    Which TV channels are streaming of Aston Villa - Bologna?
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