Aston Villa vs Bologna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Aston Villa - Bologna
Result
2:0
22/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Aston Villa - Bologna - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.01
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1612
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
45
Blocked Shots
63
Free Kicks
913
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
23
Throw-ins
149
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Fouls
139
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
449389
Completed Passes
388327
Crosses Completed
43
Interceptions
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Orsolini R. 🟨,
  • 45', Posch S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Onana A. , Barkley R. ,
  • 46', Orsolini R. , Odgaard J. ,
  • 47', Lykogiannis C. 🟨,
  • 50', Barkley R. 🟨,
  • 54', Freuler R. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 0, McGinn J. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Duran J. , Rogers M. (A),
  • 66', Duran J. , Watkins O. ,
  • 66', Bailey L. , Ramsey J. ,
  • 66', Dallinga T. , Castro S. ,
  • 66', McGinn J. , Philogene J. ,
  • 67', Urbanski K. , Moro N. ,
  • 77', Ndoye D. , Iling Junior S. ,
  • 78', Tielemans Y. , Kamara B. ,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
58.4%
Draw
24.7%
Bologna
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 22.4% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 21.4% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Aston Villa - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.56)
    3.9
    (4.28)
    5.69
    (5.89)
    3.8%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 132 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 118 - 89.4%). Bologna will win (votes: 6 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 6.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 84.1%94.7%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Aston Villa is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Bologna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Olsen R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Cambiaghi N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Knee Injury) Erlic M. (Injury) Ferguson L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Mings T. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Bologna: Aebischer M. (Injury) Iling Junior S. (Injury) Ndoye D. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Aston Villa to win the game is with odds 1.67.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Latest results of Bologna
    19.10.2024 Genoa - Bologna 2:2
    06.10.2024 Bologna - Parma 0:0
    02.10.2024 Liverpool - Bologna 2:0
    28.09.2024 Bologna - Atalanta 1:1
    22.09.2024 Monza - Bologna 1:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
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