Arsenal vs PSV Eindhoven: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven
Result
2:2
12/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.48
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
913
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
15
Blocked Shots
13
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
54
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Free Kicks
99
Offsides
01
Fouls
99
Throw-ins
139
Touches in the Opposition Box
2015
Passes
87% (422/483)87% (408/467)
Passes in the final third
72% (78/108)70% (57/82)
Crosses
27% (4/15)22% (2/9)
Tackles
71% (5/7)67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
914
Interceptions
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Zinchenko O. ⚽, Sterling R. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Perisic I. ⚽, Til G. (A),
  • 34', Babadi I. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Rice D. ⚽, Sterling R. (A),
  • 42', Kiwior J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Schouten J. ↓, Veerman J. ↑,
  • 63', Rice D. 🟨,
  • 64', Rice D. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
  • 64', Merino M. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
  • 68', Perisic I. ↓, de Jong L. ↑,
  • 69', Obispo A. ↓, Boscagli O. ↑,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Driouech C. ⚽, Babadi I. (A),
  • 77', Nagalo A. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
  • 79', Zinchenko O. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
  • 79', White B. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
  • 79', Tierney K. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
  • 80', Driouech C. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
  • 90+3', Sterling R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
64.5%		Draw
21.3%		PSV Eindhoven
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.7% 18.6% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 17.7% 11.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal's form might have worsened.
  • PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
    •

    Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.49 ↑
    (1.37)    		 4.54 ↓
    (5.15)    		 6.76 ↓
    (8.16)    		 3.9%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 54 - 84.4%). PSV will win (votes: 7 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 75.5% – 93.3%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 7-1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • PSV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.
    • Recently PSV have a series of home games.
    • In this match Arsenal is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Pepi R. (Knee Injury) Tillman M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSV: Kuhn W. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:4 (average 2.6:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven were as follows:
    04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7
    12.12.2023 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:1
    20.09.2023 Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven 4:0
    27.10.2022 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 2:0
    20.10.2022 Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven 1:0
    Latest results of Arsenal
    09.03.2025 Manchester United - Arsenal 1:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7 ✺
    26.02.2025 Nottingham Forest - Arsenal 0:0 ✺
    22.02.2025 Arsenal - West Ham United 0:1 ✺
    15.02.2025 Leicester City - Arsenal 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    08.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen 2:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7 ✺
    01.03.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - PSV Eindhoven 3:2 ✺
    26.02.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles 1:2 ✺
    19.02.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Juventus 3:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
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