Arsenal vs PSV Eindhoven: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Emirates Stadium (London).

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.25	1.48
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Goal Attempts
9	13
Shots on Goal
7	5
Shots off Goal
1	5
Blocked Shots
1	3
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Shots inside the Box
6	8
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
Free Kicks
9	9
Offsides
0	1
Fouls
9	9
Throw-ins
13	9
Touches in the Opposition Box
20	15
Passes
87% (422/483)	87% (408/467)
Passes in the final third
72% (78/108)	70% (57/82)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	22% (2/9)
Tackles
71% (5/7)	67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
9	14
Interceptions
2	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Zinchenko O. ⚽, Sterling R. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Perisic I. ⚽, Til G. (A),
34', Babadi I. 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Rice D. ⚽, Sterling R. (A),
42', Kiwior J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Schouten J. ↓, Veerman J. ↑,
63', Rice D. 🟨,
64', Rice D. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
64', Merino M. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
68', Perisic I. ↓, de Jong L. ↑,
69', Obispo A. ↓, Boscagli O. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Driouech C. ⚽, Babadi I. (A),
77', Nagalo A. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
79', Zinchenko O. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
79', White B. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
79', Tierney K. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
80', Driouech C. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
90+3', Sterling R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Arsenal
64.5%

Draw
21.3%

PSV Eindhoven
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

18.6%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

17.7%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal's form might have worsened.

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)	4.54 ↓ (5.15)	6.76 ↓ (8.16)	3.9% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven?

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 54 - 84.4%). PSV will win (votes: 7 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 75.5% – 93.3%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 7-1.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
PSV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.
Recently PSV have a series of home games.
In this match Arsenal is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Pepi R. (Knee Injury) Tillman M. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in PSV: Kuhn W. (Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:4 (average 2.6:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal won against PSV Eindhoven?

Arsenal has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has PSV Eindhoven won against Arsenal?

PSV Eindhoven has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven were as follows:

04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7

12.12.2023 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:1

20.09.2023 Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven 4:0

27.10.2022 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 2:0

20.10.2022 Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven 1:0

Latest results of Arsenal

09.03.2025 Manchester United - Arsenal 1:1 ✺

04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7 ✺

26.02.2025 Nottingham Forest - Arsenal 0:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Arsenal - West Ham United 0:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Leicester City - Arsenal 0:2 ✺

Latest results of PSV Eindhoven

08.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen 2:1 ✺

04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7 ✺

01.03.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - PSV Eindhoven 3:2 ✺

26.02.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles 1:2 ✺

19.02.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Juventus 3:1 ✺

Draw

Qualification

1/8-finals

1	Rijeka	Bye
2	Ludogorets	Din. Minsk	2 : 2, 1 : 0
3	Noah	Buducnost	2 : 2, 1 : 0
4	Bye	Ferencvaros
5	TNS	Shkendija	1 : 2, 0 : 0
6	FCSB	Inter Escaldes	1 : 2, 3 : 1
7	Shelbourne	Linfield	1 : 1, 1 : 0
8	Bye	Qarabag
9	Lech Poznan	Bye
10	Egnatia	Breidablik	0 : 5, 1 : 0
11	Vikingur	Lincoln Red Imps	0 : 1, 2 : 3
12	Bye	Crvena zvezda
13	Zalgiris	Hamrun	0 : 3, 2 : 0
14	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
15	Pafos	Bye
16	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
17	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
24	Bye	Sturm Graz
25	Celtic	Bye
29	KuPS	Milsami	0 : 0, 1 : 0
30	O. Ljubljana	Kairat Almaty	0 : 2, 1 : 1
31	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
32	Virtus	Zrinjski	1 : 2, 0 : 2
33	Basel	Bye
37	Levadia	RFS	0 : 1, 0 : 1
38	Iberia 1999	Malmo FF	1 : 3, 1 : 3
39	FC Copenhagen	Bye
40	Drita	Differdange	3 : 2, 1 : 0
41	Feyenoord	Bye
44	Bye	Fenerbahce
45	Nice	Bye
48	Bye	Benfica
49	Rangers	Bye
50	Bye	Panathinaikos
51	Plzen	Bye
52	Bye	Servette
53	Brann	Bye
54	Bye	Salzburg
56	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Quarter-finals

1	Rijeka	Ludogorets	1 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Noah	Ferencvaros	3 : 4, 1 : 2
3	Shkendija	FCSB	2 : 1, 1 : 0
4	Shelbourne	Qarabag	0 : 1, 0 : 3
5	Lech Poznan	Breidablik	1 : 0, 7 : 1
6	Lincoln Red Imps	Crvena zvezda	1 : 5, 0 : 1
7	Hamrun	Dyn. Kyiv	0 : 3, 0 : 3
8	Pafos	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 : 0, 1 : 1
9	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
12	Bye	Sturm Graz
13	Celtic	Bye
15	KuPS	Kairat Almaty	0 : 3, 2 : 0
16	Slovan Bratislava	Zrinjski	2 : 2, 4 : 0
17	Basel	Bye
19	RFS	Malmo FF	0 : 1, 1 : 4
20	FC Copenhagen	Drita	1 : 0, 2 : 0
21	Feyenoord	Bye
22	Bye	Fenerbahce
23	Nice	Bye
24	Bye	Benfica
25	Rangers	Panathinaikos	1 : 1, 2 : 0
26	Plzen	Servette	3 : 1, 0 : 1
27	Brann	Salzburg	1 : 1, 1 : 4
28	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Semi-finals

1	Ludogorets	Ferencvaros	0 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Shkendija	Qarabag	1 : 5, 0 : 1
3	Lech Poznan	Crvena zvezda	1 : 1, 1 : 3
4	Dyn. Kyiv	Pafos	0 : 2, 0 : 1
5	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
6	Bye	Sturm Graz
7	Celtic	Bye
8	Kairat Almaty	Slovan Bratislava	1 : 1, 1 : 0
9	Basel	Bye
10	Malmo FF	FC Copenhagen	0 : 5, 0 : 0
11	Feyenoord	Fenerbahce	2 : 5, 2 : 1
12	Nice	Benfica	0 : 2, 0 : 2
13	Rangers	Plzen	1 : 2, 3 : 0
14	Salzburg	Club Brugge KV	2 : 3, 0 : 1

Final

1	Ferencvaros	Qarabag	3 : 2, 1 : 3
2	Crvena zvezda	Pafos	1 : 1, 1 : 2
3	Bodo/Glimt	Sturm Graz	1 : 2, 5 : 0
4	Celtic	Kairat Almaty	0 : 1, 0 : 0
5	Basel	FC Copenhagen	0 : 2, 1 : 1
6	Fenerbahce	Benfica	0 : 1, 0 : 0
7	Rangers	Club Brugge KV	0 : 6, 1 : 3

Which TV channels are streaming of Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5, Play Sports Premier league, Play Sports Premier league
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 3, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, TV8
Japan	Wowow Cinema
Kazakhstan	Kazakhstan TV
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ 360, TVP 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin Media More
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+