Arsenal vs Newcastle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Arsenal - Newcastle United
Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 37
  • Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)
Arsenal - Newcastle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.60
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
82% (338/410)83% (302/366)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.411.73
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
3332
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
89
Passes
82% (338/410)83% (302/366)
Long passes
38% (18/47)38% (18/47)
Passes in final third
74% (111/150)74% (89/121)
Crosses
33% (5/15)14% (4/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.97
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
98
Tackles
59% (10/17)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4851
Clearances
2826
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.731.41
Goals prevented
1.320.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Saliba W. , Calafiori R. ,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Rice D. , Odegaard M. (A),
  • 64', Murphy J. , Miley L. ,
  • 64', Wilson C. , Osula W. ,
  • 64', Botman S. , Krafth E. ,
  • 65', Krafth E. 🟨,
  • 76', Saka B. , Havertz K. ,
  • 76', Barnes H. , Willock J. ,
  • 81', Arteta M. 🟨,
  • 88', Trossard L. , Tierney K. ,
  • 90+3', Odegaard M. , Jorginho ,
  • 90+4', Willock J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Havertz K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Raya D. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Burn D. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Kiwior J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
50.3%
Draw
25.6%
Newcastle United
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 24.8% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 28.3% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arsenal - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.81)
    3.77
    (3.91)
    3.97
    (4.49)
    3.8%
    (3.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Arsenal - Newcastle United?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 26 - 52%). Newcastle will win (votes: 14 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 38.2%65.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 1 - 50%). Newcastle (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Newcastle (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 1.
    • Arsenal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Newcastle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Arsenal might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Merino M. (Red Card) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Hall L. (Foot Injury) Joelinton (Knee Injury) Targett M. (Thigh Injury) Trippier K. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arsenal: Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newcastle: Botman S. (Knee Injury) Willock J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:3. (average 1.9:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Newcastle United were as follows:
    05.02.2025 Newcastle United - Arsenal 2:0
    07.01.2025 Arsenal - Newcastle United 0:2
    02.11.2024 Newcastle United - Arsenal 1:0
    24.02.2024 Arsenal - Newcastle United 4:1
    04.11.2023 Newcastle United - Arsenal 1:0
    Latest results of Arsenal
    11.05.2025 Liverpool - Arsenal 2:2
    03.05.2025 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1:2
    23.04.2025 Arsenal - Crystal Palace 2:2
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    English Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool38259486:414584
    2Arsenal382014469:343574
    3Manchester City38218972:442871
    4Chelsea38209964:432169
    5Newcastle382061268:472166
    6Aston Villa381991058:51766
    7Nottingham381981158:461265
    8Brighton381613966:59761
    9Bournemouth3815111258:461256
    10Brentford381681466:57956
    11Fulham381591454:54054
    12Crystal Palace3813141151:51053
    13Everton3811151242:44-248
    14West Ham3811101746:62-1643
    15Manchester Utd381191844:54-1042
    16Wolves381262054:69-1542
    17Tottenham381152264:65-138
    18Leicester38672533:80-4725
    19Ipswich384102436:82-4622
    20Southampton38263026:86-6012

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Arsenal - Newcastle United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCanal+, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    cambodiaCambodiaMyTV
    canadaCanadafubo Sports Network
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport
    denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
    franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Premier League, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanyRTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2, Now Sports Premier League TV
    hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSiminn Sport
    indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports 1, Star Sports Select 1
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    irelandIrelandNOW
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Max
    japanJapanU-NEXT
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoSuperSport 2
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, SKY NET Sports 3
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
    mexicoMexicoMAX
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
    portugalPortugalDAZN 2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
    spainSpainDAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, USA Network
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamK+ Sport 1, ON Plus
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