Arsenal vs Newcastle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Emirates Stadium (London).

: Premier League - Round 37
Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.65	1.60
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
10	7
Passes
82% (338/410)	83% (302/366)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65	1.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.41	1.73
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
5	6
Shots inside the Box
7	10
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
10	7
Touches in opposition box
33	32
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
82% (338/410)	83% (302/366)
Long passes
38% (18/47)	38% (18/47)
Passes in final third
74% (111/150)	74% (89/121)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	14% (4/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.56	0.97
Throw-ins
18	21
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
59% (10/17)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
48	51
Clearances
28	26
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
3	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
1.73	1.41
Goals prevented
1.32	0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Saliba W. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Rice D. ⚽, Odegaard M. (A),
64', Murphy J. ↓, Miley L. ↑,
64', Wilson C. ↓, Osula W. ↑,
64', Botman S. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,
65', Krafth E. 🟨,
76', Saka B. ↓, Havertz K. ↑,
76', Barnes H. ↓, Willock J. ↑,
81', Arteta M. 🟨,
88', Trossard L. ↓, Tierney K. ↑,
90+3', Odegaard M. ↓, Jorginho ↑,
90+4', Willock J. 🟨,
90+4', Havertz K. 🟨,
90+4', Raya D. 🟨,
90+8', Burn D. 🟨,
90+8', Kiwior J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Arsenal
50.3%

Draw
25.6%

Newcastle United
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.8%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

28.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arsenal - Newcastle United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.81)	3.77 ↓ (3.91)	3.97 ↓ (4.49)	3.8% (3.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Arsenal - Newcastle United?

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 26 - 52%). Newcastle will win (votes: 14 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 38.2% – 65.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 1 - 50%). Newcastle (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Newcastle (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 1.
Arsenal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Newcastle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Arsenal might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Merino M. (Red Card) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Newcastle: Hall L. (Foot Injury) Joelinton (Knee Injury) Targett M. (Thigh Injury) Trippier K. (Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Arsenal: Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Newcastle: Botman S. (Knee Injury) Willock J. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 1.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:3. (average 1.9:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal won against Newcastle United?

Arsenal has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Arsenal?

Newcastle United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Newcastle United were as follows:

05.02.2025 Newcastle United - Arsenal 2:0

07.01.2025 Arsenal - Newcastle United 0:2

02.11.2024 Newcastle United - Arsenal 1:0

24.02.2024 Arsenal - Newcastle United 4:1

04.11.2023 Newcastle United - Arsenal 1:0

Latest results of Arsenal

11.05.2025 Liverpool - Arsenal 2:2 ✺

07.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal 2:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1:2 ✺

29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Arsenal - Crystal Palace 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Newcastle United

11.05.2025 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United 1:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Newcastle United - Ipswich Town 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 4:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Newcastle United - Crystal Palace 5:0 ✺

English Premier League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86:41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69:34	35	74
3	Manchester City	38	21	8	9	72:44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64:43	21	69
5	Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68:47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58:51	7	66
7	Nottingham	38	19	8	11	58:46	12	65
8	Brighton	38	16	13	9	66:59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58:46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66:57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54:54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51:51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42:44	-2	48
14	West Ham	38	11	10	17	46:62	-16	43
15	Manchester Utd	38	11	9	18	44:54	-10	42
16	Wolves	38	12	6	20	54:69	-15	42
17	Tottenham	38	11	5	22	64:65	-1	38
18	Leicester	38	6	7	25	33:80	-47	25
19	Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36:82	-46	22
20	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26:86	-60	12

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Arsenal - Newcastle United?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Canal+, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Premier League, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports 1, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Max
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	SuperSport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 3
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	MAX
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	CANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, ON Plus