Everton vs Arsenal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League Everton - Arsenal
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 31
  • Referee: England D. (Eng)
Everton - Arsenal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.85
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
514
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
70% (124/178)87% (389/449)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.960.98
Total shots
514
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1944
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
70% (124/178)87% (389/449)
Long passes
35% (14/40)42% (14/33)
Passes in final third
54% (38/71)73% (85/116)
Crosses
14% (2/14)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.79
Fouls
1713
Tackles
65% (11/17)41% (9/22)
Duels won
4362
Clearances Total
3129
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.980.96
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', O'Brien J. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Trossard L. , Sterling R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nwaneri E. , Saka B. ,
  • 46', Sterling R. , Martinelli G. ,
  • 48', Jorginho 🟨,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Ndiaye I. (Pen),
  • 62', White B. , Timber J. ,
  • 63', Tarkowski J. 🟨,
  • 65', Iroegbunam T. , Garner J. ,
  • 65', Beto , Broja A. ,
  • 71', Jorginho , Odegaard M. ,
  • 75', Ndiaye I. , Alcaraz C. ,
  • 75', Patterson N. , Young A. ,
  • 75', Lewis-Skelly M. , Tierney K. ,
  • 87', Harrison J. , McNeil D. ,
  • 88', Alcaraz C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mr2txusd

Chances of winning


Everton
23%
Draw
29.9%
Arsenal
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.8% 27.8% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4% 27.1% 56.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Everton's performance.
  • Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Everton that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Everton - Arsenal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.24
    (5.63)
    3.23
    (3.4)
    2.03
    (1.71)
    3.8%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and English Premier League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : USA Network (4K), NBC Universo
  • What is the prediction for Everton - Arsenal?
  • Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 21 - 30.9%). Arsenal will win (votes: 43 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 51.7%74.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Everton (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Arsenal (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Everton won 1.
    • Recent matches Everton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Arsenal is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Everton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Arsenal is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Everton: Calvert-Lewin D. (Muscle Injury) Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) McNeil D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Knee Injury) Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arsenal: Timber J. (Knee Injury) White B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Everton won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 18:39 (average 0.9:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Everton won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Everton - Arsenal were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Arsenal - Everton 0:0
    19.05.2024 Arsenal - Everton 2:1
    17.09.2023 Everton - Arsenal 0:1
    01.03.2023 Arsenal - Everton 4:0
    04.02.2023 Everton - Arsenal 1:0
    Latest results of Everton
    02.04.2025 Liverpool - Everton 1:0
    15.03.2025 Everton - West Ham United 1:1
    26.02.2025 Brentford - Everton 1:1
    Latest results of Arsenal
    01.04.2025 Arsenal - Fulham 2:1
    16.03.2025 Arsenal - Chelsea 1:0
    12.03.2025 Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven 2:2
    04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal00000:000
    2Aston Villa00000:000
    3Chelsea00000:000
    4Everton00000:000
    5Fulham00000:000
    6Liverpool00000:000
    7Manchester City00000:000
    8Manchester Utd00000:000
    9Newcastle00000:000
    10Sunderland00000:000
    11Tottenham00000:000
    12West Ham00000:000
    13Burnley00000:000
    14Crystal Palace00000:000
    15Wolves00000:000
    16Bournemouth00000:000
    17Brighton00000:000
    18Leeds00000:000
    19Nottingham00000:000
    20Brentford00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Everton - Arsenal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadafubo Sports Network
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport
    denmarkDenmarkAmazon Prime Video
    europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
    franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
    hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSiminn Sport
    indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanU-NEXT
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoSuperSport 2
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
    mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
    portugalPortugalDAZN 2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
    spainSpainDAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
    swedenSwedenAmazon Prime Video
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
    thailandThailandTrue Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Digital Exclusive, TNT Sports Ultimate
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamON Plus
    worldWorldDisney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia
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