Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Cup Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin
Result
1:0 ET
25/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Polish Cup - 1/32-finals
Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
  • 42', Wojcik F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Percan , Jakubczyk K. ,
  • 59', Predenkiewicz M. , Navarro M. ,
  • 61', Samper S. , Rodrigues I. ,
  • 61', Dadashov R. , Czubak K. ,
  • 69', Palacz K. 🟨,
  • 72', Fabio Ronaldo , Haxha F. ,
  • 77', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
  • 77', Kocyla D. , Kerk S. ,
  • 78', Rusyn N. , Abramowicz D. ,
  • 90+10', Wolski B. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Ndiaye M. , van Hoeven B. ,
  • 101', Haxha F. , Karasek K. ,
  • 103', 1 - 0, Jakubczyk K. ,
  • 111', Navarro M. 🟨,
  • 115', Kerk S. 🟨,
  • 117', Perea L. 🟨,
  • 120+1', 🟨,
  • 120+1', Czubak K. 🟨,
  • 120+2', Meyer P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
39.9%
Draw
28.6%
Motor Lublin
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 28.7% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 28.7% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.2)
    3.22
    (3.11)
    2.93
    (2.92)
    8.4%
    (11.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Motor will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arka is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Motor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin were as follows:
    20.07.2025 Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia 1:0
    02.06.2024 Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin 1:2
    12.04.2024 Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia 2:2
    29.09.2023 Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin 2:0
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegBye
    2Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec3 : 0
    3LegnicaBye
    4ByePogon Siedlce
    5Avia SwidnikBye
    6ByeRuch Chorzow
    7SwinoujscieBye
    8KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie0 : 2
    9Gryf SlupskBye
    10ByePolonia Warszawa
    11S. RzeszowBye
    12ByeKorona Kielce
    13T. MazowieckiBye
    14ByeSlask Wroclaw
    15LKS LomzaBye
    16ByeOdra Opole
    17Legia IIBye
    18ByeGornik Zabrze
    19OzimekBye
    20ByePruszkow
    21LecznaBye
    22ByeCracovia
    23Korona Kielce IIBye
    24ByePiast Gliwice
    25SrodaBye
    26KS Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz0 : 1
    27Bytom OdrzanskiBye
    28ByeWisla
    29Grodzisk M.Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    30ByeLechia Gdansk
    31Kotwica KolobrzegBye
    32ByePogon Szczecin
    33Legnica IIBye
    34Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II2 : 1
    35Arka GdyniaBye
    36ByeMotor Lublin
    37Goczalkowice Zdroj IIBye
    38S. WolaSkra3 : 1
    39WikielecBye
    40PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow2 : 1
    41Radomiak RadomBye
    42ByeZaglebie
    43ZawiszaBye
    44ByeTychy
    45Termalica B-B.Bye
    46ByeWidzew Lodz
    47AndrychowBye
    48ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala2 : 1
    49Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag1 : 0
    50Polonia BytomZaglebie II7 : 1
    51GKS KatowiceBye
    52ByeWisla Plock
    53LKS LodzBye
    54ByeChrobry Glogow
    55Stal MielecBye
    56ByePuszcza

    1/32-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegHutnik Krakow0 : 1
    2LegnicaPogon Siedlce2 : 0
    3Avia SwidnikRuch Chorzow3 : 1
    4SwinoujscieGKS Jastrzebie3 : 2
    5Gryf SlupskPolonia Warszawa1 : 0
    6S. RzeszowKorona Kielce0 : 1
    7T. MazowieckiSlask Wroclaw
    8LKS LomzaOdra Opole0 : 2
    9Legia IIGornik Zabrze0 : 3
    10OzimekPruszkow1 : 2
    11LecznaCracovia1 : 5
    12Korona Kielce IIPiast Gliwice0 : 1
    13SrodaOl. Grudziadz1 : 3
    14Bytom OdrzanskiWisla0 : 1
    15Grodzisk M.Lechia Gdansk0 : 1
    16Kotwica KolobrzegPogon Szczecin0 : 3
    17Legnica IISwit Szczecin1 : 3
    18Arka GdyniaMotor Lublin1 : 0
    19Goczalkowice Zdroj IIS. Wola3 : 1
    20WikielecPodbeskidzie2 : 1
    21Radomiak RadomZaglebie0 : 2
    22ZawiszaTychy2 : 0
    23Termalica B-B.Widzew Lodz2 : 3
    24AndrychowChojniczanka0 : 3
    25Warta PoznanPolonia Bytom0 : 1
    26GKS KatowiceWisla Plock4 : 2
    27LKS LodzChrobry Glogow5 : 3
    28Stal MielecPuszcza1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    polandPolandTVP Sport app, TVP Sport
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