Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.47
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
822
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
612
Passes
73% (144/197)88% (456/519)
Yellow Cards
71
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.402.27
Total shots
822
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
515
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
612
Touches in opposition box
1529
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
88
Passes
73% (144/197)88% (456/519)
Long passes
40% (18/45)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
62% (37/60)81% (104/129)
Crosses
19% (3/16)29% (10/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.64
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
108
Tackles
50% (6/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
4311
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
2.271.40
Goals prevented
1.27-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Sartori F. ,
  • 10', 1 - 1, Lopez H. , Gimenez M. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 1, Fernandez M. , Studer S. (A),
  • 23', Studer S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bottari T. 🟨,
  • 46', Retamar K. , Cardillo M. ,
  • 53', Gomez L. 🟨,
  • 56', Costa L. 🟨,
  • 58', Lescano A. 🟨,
  • 63', Costa L. 🟨,
  • 67', Oroz N. , Giaccone L. ,
  • 67', Sartori F. , Osella A. ,
  • 67', Gomez L. , Souto P. ,
  • 74', Fernandez M. , Bonifacio E. ,
  • 78', Lozano L. , Gho J. ,
  • 78', Cardozo J. , Sosa I. ,
  • 79', Souto P. 🟨,
  • 86', Lescano A. , Porcel D. ,
  • 86', Prieto S. , Viveros E. ,
  • 88', Amarfil M. , Bucca L. ,
  • 90+1', Centurion E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
30.6%
Draw
32.2%
Argentinos Juniors
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 29.6% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 30.2% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Rivadavia's form might have worsened.
  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.5)
    2.89
    (3.2)
    2.55
    (2.9)
    6.2%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
    • Independiente R has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Argentinos Juniors is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Peinipil M. (Injury) Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Sanchez L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors were as follows:
    24.02.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 0:0
    02.12.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1
    20.02.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 2:1
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe944115:8716
    2Barracas Central943211:9215
    3Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    4Boca Juniors935112:6614
    5Central Cordoba935112:8414
    6Banfield94149:13-413
    7Belgrano93339:7212
    8Defensa y Justicia93339:8112
    9Tigre93338:7112
    10Huracan93335:8-312
    11Argentinos Jrs932410:8211
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi90361:12-113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4Lanus95139:8116
    5San Lorenzo93426:6013
    6Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    7Rosario Central82606:4212
    8Sarmiento Junin83328:9-112
    9Gimnasia L.P93156:9-310
    10Instituto92435:11-610
    11Platense82338:11-39
    12San Martin S.J92346:9-39
    13Godoy Cruz91538:11-38
    14Talleres Cordoba91444:9-57
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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