Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.47
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
822
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
612
Passes
73% (144/197)88% (456/519)
Yellow Cards
71
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.402.27
Total shots
822
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
515
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
612
Touches in opposition box
1529
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
88
Passes
73% (144/197)88% (456/519)
Long passes
40% (18/45)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
62% (37/60)81% (104/129)
Crosses
19% (3/16)29% (10/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.64
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
108
Tackles
50% (6/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
4311
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
2.271.40
Goals prevented
1.27-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Sartori F. ,
  • 10', 1 - 1, Lopez H. , Gimenez M. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 1, Fernandez M. , Studer S. (A),
  • 23', Studer S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bottari T. 🟨,
  • 46', Retamar K. , Cardillo M. ,
  • 53', Gomez L. 🟨,
  • 56', Costa L. 🟨,
  • 58', Lescano A. 🟨,
  • 63', Costa L. 🟨,
  • 67', Oroz N. , Giaccone L. ,
  • 67', Sartori F. , Osella A. ,
  • 67', Gomez L. , Souto P. ,
  • 74', Fernandez M. , Bonifacio E. ,
  • 78', Lozano L. , Gho J. ,
  • 78', Cardozo J. , Sosa I. ,
  • 79', Souto P. 🟨,
  • 86', Lescano A. , Porcel D. ,
  • 86', Prieto S. , Viveros E. ,
  • 88', Amarfil M. , Bucca L. ,
  • 90+1', Centurion E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
30.6%
Draw
32.2%
Argentinos Juniors
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 29.6% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 30.2% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Rivadavia's form might have worsened.
  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.5)
    2.89
    (3.2)
    2.55
    (2.9)
    6.2%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
    • Independiente R has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Argentinos Juniors is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Peinipil M. (Injury) Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Sanchez L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors were as follows:
    24.02.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 0:0
    02.12.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1
    20.02.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 2:1
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central742111:8314
    2Central Cordoba734010:4613
    3Boca Juniors73319:3612
    4Union de Santa Fe733110:5512
    5Defensa y Justicia73318:5312
    6Estudiantes L.P74038:8012
    7Huracan73225:6-111
    8Banfield73138:10-210
    9Argentinos Jrs72237:618
    10Ind. Rivadavia72238:9-18
    11Tigre72236:7-18
    12Belgrano72236:7-18
    13Newells Old Boys71336:8-26
    14Racing Club71156:12-64
    15Aldosivi70341:8-73


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate743014:41015
    2Velez Sarsfield74219:3614
    3Dep. Riestra74129:5413
    4San Lorenzo73315:3212
    5Rosario Central62404:2210
    6Gimnasia L.P73135:5010
    7Lanus73136:7-110
    8Atl. Tucuman72328:629
    9San Martin S.J72235:7-28
    10Godoy Cruz71337:10-36
    11Platense61325:8-36
    12Sarmiento Junin61325:9-46
    13Instituto71332:10-86
    14Talleres Cordoba71243:8-55
    15Independiente60334:7-33

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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