Belgrano vs Argentinos Juniors: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors
Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.73
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
67% (181/272)82% (444/541)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.031.71
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1522
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
67% (181/272)82% (444/541)
Long passes
40% (29/73)56% (43/77)
Passes in final third
54% (52/97)62% (83/134)
Crosses
22% (2/9)33% (11/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.96
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
1116
Tackles
42% (5/12)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5350
Clearances
4113
Interceptions
1016
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.711.03
Goals prevented
0.710.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. , Troilo M. (A),
  • 40', Lescano A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Menossi L. , Lopez E. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Lescano A. , Molina T. (A),
  • 58', Troilo M. , Meriano N. ,
  • 60', Grillo F. 🟨,
  • 64', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 65', Viveros E. , Herrera J. ,
  • 75', Compagnucci G. , Sanchez U. ,
  • 75', Quignon F. , Hernandes R. ,
  • 75', Oroz N. , Gomez L. ,
  • 77', Fattori F. 🟨,
  • 83', Jara F. , Passerini L. ,
  • 83', Rodriguez A. , Cardozo J. ,
  • 88', Meriano N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Belgrano
28.6%
Draw
31.5%
Argentinos Juniors
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 30.7% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 31.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgrano's form might have worsened.
  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (2.79)
    3.01
    (3.08)
    2.36
    (2.67)
    6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Argentinos Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 3.
    • Recent matches Belgrano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Argentinos Juniors is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Argentinos Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Argentinos Juniors will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Baldi A. (Injury) Espinola J. (Inactive) Lopez E. (Muscle Injury) Lucco J. (Hamstring Injury) Ostchega T. (Finger Injury) Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Prieto S. (Inactive) Romero M. (Hamstring Injury) Sanchez L. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 0.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors were as follows:
    01.06.2024 Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors 1:0
    18.02.2023 Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano 3:0
    Latest results of Belgrano
    22.04.2025 Tigre - Belgrano 0:0
    16.04.2025 Belgrano - Real Pilar 3:1
    12.04.2025 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 1:3
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia21102:024
    2Banfield21102:114
    3Union de Santa Fe21102:114
    4Ind. Rivadavia21014:223
    5Belgrano21013:123
    6Newells Old Boys21013:303
    7Tigre21013:303
    8Estudiantes L.P21012:203
    9Racing Club21011:103
    10Barracas Central21011:3-23
    11Boca Juniors20201:102
    12Central Cordoba20201:102
    13Argentinos Jrs20111:2-11
    14Aldosivi20110:2-21
    15Huracan20021:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate22007:166
    2Atl. Tucuman21103:214
    3Rosario Central21102:114
    4Velez Sarsfield21102:114
    5San Lorenzo21102:114
    6San Martin S.J21014:403
    7Talleres Cordoba21013:303
    8Dep. Riestra21013:303
    9Instituto21011:4-33
    10Sarmiento Junin20202:202
    11Godoy Cruz20201:102
    12Independiente20113:4-11
    13Gimnasia L.P20110:1-11
    14Platense20111:3-21
    15Lanus20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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