Aragua vs Deportivo La Guaira: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Venezuela Aragua - Deportivo La Guaira
Result
1:2
27/06/2024 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • VENEZUELA: Copa Venezuela - Round 4
Aragua - Deportivo La Guaira - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Custodio A. ,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Farias E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 1 - 2, McIntosh R. ,

Chances of winning


Aragua
22.1%
Draw
25.9%
Deportivo La Guaira
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.7% 22.4% 59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9% 23.5% 62.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo La Guaira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aragua that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Guaira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aragua - Deportivo La Guaira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.09
    (5.3)
    3.49
    (4.2)
    1.74
    (1.57)
    10.5%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aragua won 0.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Deportivo La Guaira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Deportivo La Guaira is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Aragua won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14-24.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aragua won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aragua - Deportivo La Guaira were as follows:
    06.06.2024 Deportivo La Guaira - Aragua 3:0
    Latest results of Aragua
    16.06.2024 Ureña - Aragua 0:1
    25.05.2024 Real Fronteras - Aragua 1:3
    Copa Venezuela Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caracas632110:4611
    2Dynamo Puerto631211:9210
    3Miranda62227:438
    4Aragua61145:16-114


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes Merida651016:11516
    2Frontera63127:6110
    3El Vigia63038:11-39
    4Urena60063:16-130


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo642013:7614
    2Zamora62319:729
    3Titanes61325:7-26
    4Yaracuyanos61055:11-63


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monagas541010:3713
    2Mineros530210:559
    3Bolivar62225:8-38
    4Angostura60156:15-91


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rayo Zuliano641114:41013
    2Barquisimeto640212:9312
    3Heroes de Falcon62046:14-86
    4Trujillanos61148:13-54


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barquisimeto640212:9312
    2Dynamo Puerto631211:9210
    3Frontera63127:6110
    4Mineros530210:559
    5Zamora62319:729

          Promotion ~ Copa Venezuela (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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