Peñarol de Montevideo vs América Mineiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Peñarol de Montevideo - América Mineiro
Result
1:2
29/06/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Referee: Haro D. (Per)
Peñarol de Montevideo - América Mineiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
32.6%
Draw
29.5%
América Mineiro
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.6% 26.1% 52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7% 26.2% 52.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peñarol de Montevideo's performance.
  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peñarol de Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - América Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (4.32)
    3.21
    (3.56)
    2.47
    (1.78)
    5.8%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - América Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). América MG will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 11.5%55.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Peñarol has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches América MG is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • América MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently América MG have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - América Mineiro were as follows:
    05.04.2023 América Mineiro - Peñarol de Montevideo 4:1
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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