Alverca vs Tondela: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Alverca - Tondela
Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 5
  • Referee: Filipe L. (Por)
Alverca - Tondela - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.582.10
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
81% (289/357)83% (296/356)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.582.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.633.06
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1123
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
81% (289/357)83% (296/356)
Long passes
47% (27/58)43% (18/42)
Passes in final third
63% (45/71)64% (68/107)
Crosses
19% (3/16)13% (4/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.22
Throw-ins
2034
Fouls
1315
Tackles
60% (12/20)43% (9/21)
Duels won
6643
Clearances
4517
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
3.060.63
Goals prevented
3.060.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', Manso T. (Pen),
  • 44', 1 - 0, Maviram E. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Meupiyou B. 🟨,
  • 56', Bebeto 🟨,
  • 57', Manso T. , Vita R. ,
  • 57', Maviram E. , Yarlen ,
  • 66', Marezi , Sandro Lima ,
  • 71', Abdulai S. , Gui D. ,
  • 71', Gomez S. , Baseya S. ,
  • 71', Rony Lopes , Siebatcheu J. ,
  • 79', Sithole S. , Pedro Maranhao ,
  • 79', Bebeto , Felix H. ,
  • 82', Pedro Maranhao 🟨,
  • 85', Lincoln , Nuozzi C. ,
  • 85', Figueiredo , Cabezas G. ,

Chances of winning


Alverca
42.1%
Draw
29.9%
Tondela
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 29.4% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Alverca - Tondela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.45)
    3.16
    (3.22)
    3.34
    (2.94)
    5.5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Alverca - Tondela?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tondela will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alverca: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alverca will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alverca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There are questionable in Alverca: Chiquinho (Injury) Martinez J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Tondela: Cicero (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alverca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Tondela were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Tondela - Alverca 1:2
    12.01.2025 Alverca - Tondela 1:1
    Latest results of Alverca
    31.08.2025 Alverca - Benfica 1:2
    17.08.2025 Alverca - Braga 0:3
    10.08.2025 Moreirense - Alverca 2:1
    16.07.2025 Alverca - Amora 2:0
    Latest results of Tondela
    31.08.2025 Tondela - Estoril Praia 2:2
    23.08.2025 Benfica - Tondela 3:0
    16.08.2025 Tondela - Famalicão 0:1
    10.08.2025 Braga - Tondela 3:0
    16.05.2025 Leiria - Tondela 0:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto660015:11418
    2Benfica752013:4917
    3Sporting CP650118:41415
    4Gil Vicente74128:4413
    5Moreirense64028:7112
    6Famalicao63217:3411
    7Braga623111:659
    8Vitoria Guimaraes62227:9-28
    9Santa Clara62224:6-28
    10Arouca62229:14-58
    11Casa Pia62135:9-47
    12Estoril61238:10-25
    13Estrela60423:6-34
    14Nacional61145:10-54
    15Alverca61146:11-54
    16Rio Ave60428:13-54
    17Tondela60242:10-82
    18AFS60154:14-101

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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Alverca - Tondela?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
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