Benfica vs Alverca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Benfica - Alverca
Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 21
  • Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
Benfica - Alverca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.821.14
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
296
Shots on target
102
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
91
Passes
85% (387/456)72% (200/276)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.821.14
xG on target (xGOT)
3.360.49
Total shots
296
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
92
Blocked shots
102
Shots inside the box
174
Shots outside the box
122
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
509
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1811
Passes
85% (387/456)72% (200/276)
Long passes
47% (16/34)48% (29/61)
Passes in final third
74% (138/186)49% (31/63)
Crosses
19% (7/36)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.411.34
Throw ins
2019
Fouls
1118
Tackles
78% (18/23)33% (6/18)
Duels won
6558
Clearances
1345
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
18
xGOT faced
0.493.36
Goals prevented
-0.511.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Lincoln 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Schjelderup A. ,
  • 23', Lopes Cabral S. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Figueiredo , Marezi (A),
  • 39', Mateus Oliveira 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Chiquinho , Garcia F. ,
  • 65', Mourinho J. 🟨,
  • 66', Prestianni G. 🟨,
  • 71', Lincoln , Rhaldney ,
  • 73', Lopes Cabral S. , Sudakov G. ,
  • 81', Marezi , Clairicia M. ,
  • 81', Figueiredo , Nuozzi C. ,
  • 85', Prestianni G. , Bruma ,
  • 85', Schjelderup A. , Cabral A. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Cabral A. , Dahl S. (A),
  • 88', Pavlidis V. , Silva A. ,
  • 88', Rafa Silva , Barrenechea E. ,
  • 88', Meupiyou B. , James I. ,
  • 90+7', Araujo T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Benfica
81.1%
Draw
13.5%
Alverca
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
80% 14.4% 5.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Benfica - Alverca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.17
    (1.18)
    6.99
    (6.56)
    17.6
    (16.98)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Benfica - Alverca?
    • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 71.3%100%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1, 1st Half - Benfica (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1.5 - Benfica (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1.75 - Benfica (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -2 - Benfica (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 16 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 10).
    • Benfica is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alverca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Benfica is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Lukebakio D. (Broken ankle) Rios R. (Injury) Soares S. (Injury) Veloso J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Alverca: Diarra S. (Muscle Injury) Leo Chu (Injury) Mendes T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Benfica: Araujo H. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alverca: Abdulai S. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Benfica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Alverca were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Alverca - Benfica 1:2
    Latest results of Benfica
    01.02.2026 Tondela - Benfica 0:0
    28.01.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 4:2
    21.01.2026 Juventus - Benfica 2:0
    17.01.2026 Rio Ave - Benfica 0:2
    Latest results of Alverca
    25.01.2026 Braga - Alverca 5:0
    17.01.2026 Alverca - Moreirense 2:1
    04.01.2026 Alverca - Famalicão 1:0
    27.12.2025 Estoril Praia - Alverca 4:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto25213149:103966
    2Sporting CP25195164:145062
    3Benfica25178053:163759
    4Braga25137552:252746
    5Gil Vicente25118637:251241
    6Famalicao25116830:21939
    7Moreirense251051031:35-435
    8Estoril2597946:42434
    9Vitoria Guimaraes25951128:37-932
    10Alverca25771124:39-1528
    11Arouca25751332:53-2126
    12Estrela255101028:43-1525
    13Casa Pia25591126:44-1824
    14Rio Ave25591124:44-2024
    15Nacional25571329:37-822
    16Santa Clara25571322:31-922
    17Tondela25471419:39-2019
    18AFS25171718:57-3910

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Benfica - Alverca?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
    denmarkDenmarkBold+, Sport Live
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
    hungaryHungarySport 1
    israelIsraelSport 4
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
    kuwaitKuwaitKTV Sport
    lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    portugalPortugalBenfica TV
    russiaRussiaTV Start
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
    uruguayUruguayAntel TV
    worldWorldOnefootball
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