Alvarado vs San Miguel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Alvarado - San Miguel
Result
0:0
13/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 22
Alvarado - San Miguel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
1210
Corner Kicks
48
Goalkeeper Saves
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Irazoque A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Aleo A. , Susvielles J. ,
  • 64', Salto C. 🟨,
  • 66', Salto C. , Ferrero J. ,
  • 71', Nasta B. , Mosca C. ,
  • 83', Bolzicco T. , Miori M. ,
  • 83', Martinez E. , Russo F. ,
  • 83', Corda S. , Grance I. ,
  • 83', Sena F. , Rojas M. ,

Chances of winning


Alvarado
22.2%
Draw
33.9%
San Miguel
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 29.6% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 29.3% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alvarado - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (2.9)
    2.75
    (3.15)
    2.11
    (2.43)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Alvarado - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Miguel: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by Alvarado have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • San Miguel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - San Miguel were as follows:
    09.03.2025 San Miguel - Alvarado 2:0
    14.09.2024 San Miguel - Alvarado 2:0
    28.04.2024 Alvarado - San Miguel 1:0
    Latest results of Alvarado
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn291311541:261550
    2Atletico Atlanta291212527:19848
    3Tristan Suarez291014526:19744
    4San Miguel291111728:24444
    5San Martin T291111725:23244
    6Gimnasia y Tiro291110826:17943
    7Patronato291110829:24543
    8Deportivo Maipu291010928:27140
    9Los Andes299101027:25237
    10Quilmes298111029:29035
    11Racing Cordoba298111034:38-435
    12All Boys29713922:24-234
    13Colegiales29971317:23-634
    14Almagro297121023:27-433
    15Ferro297101219:31-1231
    16Club A. Guemes29515925:31-630
    17Arsenal Sarandi29791331:40-930
    18Alvarado295131117:27-1028


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy291412332:131954
    2Gimnasia Mendoza291411430:151553
    3Deportivo Moron291311531:171450
    4Estudiantes Rio Cuarto291311530:181250
    5Chacarita Juniors291211635:231247
    6Chaco For Ever291451031:24747
    7CA Estudiantes29137931:201146
    8Temperley291112624:19545
    9Agropecuario29119935:33242
    10Def. de Belgrano29911924:23138
    11CA Mitre29991124:24036
    12San Telmo298111025:34-935
    13Nueva Chicago298101125:28-334
    14Central Norte29961423:31-833
    15Colon Santa Fe29841721:35-1428
    16Almirante Brown295111322:34-1226
    17Defensores Unidos293101617:47-3019
    18Talleres (R.E)29452013:35-2217

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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