Alvarado vs San Miguel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Alvarado - San Miguel
Result
0:0
13/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 22
Alvarado - San Miguel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
1210
Corner Kicks
48
Goalkeeper Saves
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Irazoque A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Aleo A. , Susvielles J. ,
  • 64', Salto C. 🟨,
  • 66', Salto C. , Ferrero J. ,
  • 71', Nasta B. , Mosca C. ,
  • 83', Bolzicco T. , Miori M. ,
  • 83', Martinez E. , Russo F. ,
  • 83', Corda S. , Grance I. ,
  • 83', Sena F. , Rojas M. ,

Chances of winning


Alvarado
22.2%
Draw
33.9%
San Miguel
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 29.6% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 29.3% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alvarado - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (2.9)
    2.75
    (3.15)
    2.11
    (2.43)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Alvarado - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Miguel: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by Alvarado have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • San Miguel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - San Miguel were as follows:
    09.03.2025 San Miguel - Alvarado 2:0
    14.09.2024 San Miguel - Alvarado 2:0
    28.04.2024 Alvarado - San Miguel 1:0
    Latest results of Alvarado
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynBye
    2Gimnasia JujuySan Miguel0 : 0
    3Atletico AtlantaChaco For Ever3 : 0
    4Deportivo MoronSan Martin T.0 : 0
    5Estudiantes Rio CuartoPatronato2 : 1
    6Gimnasia y TiroTemperley2 : 0
    7CA EstudiantesDeportivo Maipu1 : 0
    8Tristan SuarezAgropecuario2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynGimnasia Jujuy
    2Atletico AtlantaDeportivo Moron
    3Estudiantes Rio CuartoGimnasia y Tiro
    4CA EstudiantesTristan Suarez
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