Alvarado vs San Miguel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Alvarado - San Miguel
Result
0:0
13/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 22
Alvarado - San Miguel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
1210
Corner Kicks
48
Goalkeeper Saves
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Irazoque A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Aleo A. , Susvielles J. ,
  • 64', Salto C. 🟨,
  • 66', Salto C. , Ferrero J. ,
  • 71', Nasta B. , Mosca C. ,
  • 83', Bolzicco T. , Miori M. ,
  • 83', Martinez E. , Russo F. ,
  • 83', Corda S. , Grance I. ,
  • 83', Sena F. , Rojas M. ,

Chances of winning


Alvarado
22.2%
Draw
33.9%
San Miguel
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 29.6% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 29.3% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alvarado - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (2.9)
    2.75
    (3.15)
    2.11
    (2.43)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Alvarado - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Miguel: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by Alvarado have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • San Miguel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - San Miguel were as follows:
    09.03.2025 San Miguel - Alvarado 2:0
    14.09.2024 San Miguel - Alvarado 2:0
    28.04.2024 Alvarado - San Miguel 1:0
    Latest results of Alvarado
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn321512543:261757
    2Atletico Atlanta321412629:23654
    3San Miguel ✔ 321213730:25549
    4Gimnasia y Tiro321211930:201047
    5Patronato321211930:25547
    6San Martin T321211929:26347
    7Tristan Suarez321016628:22646
    8Deportivo Maipu321112930:28245
    9Colegiales321181323:25-241
    10Racing Cordoba3210111136:39-341
    11Los Andes3210101228:27140
    12Quilmes328131129:30-137
    13All Boys32716923:25-237
    14Ferro328111320:32-1235
    15Club A. Guemes326161026:32-634
    16Almagro327131224:30-634
    17Alvarado326141218:28-1032
    18Arsenal Sarandi327101532:45-1331


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza321611533:171659
    2Estudiantes Rio Cuarto321511632:201256
    3CA Estudiantes32167939:211855
    4Gimnasia Jujuy321412632:171554
    5Deportivo Moron321412632:181454
    6Chaco For Ever321571033:24952
    7Agropecuario32149941:33851
    8Temperley321312727:22551
    9Chacarita Juniors321212836:261048
    10Def. de Belgrano321112928:25345
    11CA Mitre321091327:27039
    12Nueva Chicago329111226:30-438
    13San Telmo329111228:38-1038
    14Central Norte321061626:37-1136
    15Almirante Brown327111425:36-1132
    16Colon Santa Fe32851921:38-1729
    17Talleres (R.E) ✔ 32552215:38-2320
    18Defensores Unidos ✔ 323111817:51-3420

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
    Defensores Unidos is Relegated to
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