Güemes vs Alvarado: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Güemes - Alvarado
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 9
  • Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)
Güemes - Alvarado - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
43
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
43
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
20
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Blasi B. 🟨,
  • 39', Borgnino M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Griffa E. , Perez P. ,
  • 55', Papa G. 🟨,
  • 59', Russo F. , Becker D. ,
  • 59', Gobetto J. , Mansilla M. ,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Veliz D. ,
  • 66', Bettini M. 🟨,
  • 68', Veliz D. , Brylko H. ,
  • 68', Papa G. , Fissore M. ,
  • 77', Borgnino M. , Ascacibar J. ,
  • 83', Leguiza M. 🟨,
  • 84', Gerez M. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Bolzicco T. ,
  • 90+3', Juarez W. , Alvarez M. ,
  • 90+3', Bergara M. , James J. ,

Chances of winning


Güemes
45.3%
Draw
31.4%
Alvarado
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 32.8% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 32.1% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Güemes's performance.
  • Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Güemes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Güemes - Alvarado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.29)
    2.94
    (2.81)
    3.96
    (3.43)
    8.1%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Güemes - Alvarado?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Güemes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
    • Güemes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Alvarado is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Güemes is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Güemes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Güemes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Güemes - Alvarado were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Güemes - Alvarado 2:1
    31.03.2024 Alvarado - Güemes 0:0
    14.07.2023 Güemes - Alvarado 0:2
    11.03.2023 Alvarado - Güemes 2:1
    Latest results of Güemes
    Latest results of Alvarado
    09.03.2025 San Miguel - Alvarado 2:0
    02.03.2025 Alvarado - Quilmes 0:0
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atletico Atlanta2099217:10736
    2San Martin T2098319:11835
    3San Miguel2087520:14631
    4Tristan Suarez20710318:12631
    5Deportivo Madryn1978421:16529
    6Patronato2078523:19429
    7Gimnasia y Tiro2077617:12528
    8Deportivo Maipu2068619:19026
    9Racing Cordoba2068626:27-126
    10Almagro2068616:17-126
    11Los Andes2066819:21-224
    12Ferro2066813:19-624
    13Quilmes1958619:18123
    14Colegiales2065910:17-723
    15All Boys2049718:20-221
    16Club A. Guemes20311616:20-420
    17Alvarado2047913:22-919
    18Arsenal Sarandi2029915:25-1015


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy20117223:101340
    2Chacarita Juniors20106427:131436
    3Deportivo Moron1997322:91334
    4Gimnasia Mendoza19810120:101034
    5Estudiantes Rio Cuarto2089321:13833
    6Chaco For Ever20103723:17633
    7Temperley2087520:17331
    8CA Estudiantes2085719:16329
    9CA Mitre2077616:12428
    10Agropecuario2076722:23-127
    11Def. de Belgrano1968515:13226
    12San Telmo1968519:21-226
    13Nueva Chicago2057817:20-322
    14Central Norte20641014:24-1022
    15Colon Santa Fe20631115:20-521
    16Almirante Brown2038914:25-1117
    17Defensores Unidos2017128:33-2510
    18Talleres (R.E)2014155:24-197

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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