Alvarado vs Gimnasia y Tiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro
Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 12
  • Referee: Cavallero L. (Arg)
Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
22
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
22
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
63
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Bergara M. ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Rojas F. ,
  • 36', Ortiz D. 🟨,
  • 36', Guanini M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ortiz D. , Susvielles J. ,
  • 46', Ascacibar J. , Martinez E. ,
  • 67', Busse W. , Galetto J. ,
  • 67', Contin N. , Heredia F. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Bergara M. ,
  • 70', Bergara M. 🟨,
  • 76', Rinaldi N. , Mendez J. ,
  • 76', Tallura A. , Sivetti F. ,
  • 76', Chaves I. F. , Buter L. ,
  • 77', Bergara M. , Miori M. ,
  • 79', Birge M. 🟨,
  • 79', Blasi B. 🟨,
  • 83', Aleo A. , James J. ,
  • 87', Becker D. , Bolzicco T. ,

Chances of winning


Alvarado
47.7%
Draw
32.9%
Gimnasia y Tiro
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 30.3% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 27.5% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Tiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvarado that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Tiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.12)
    2.79
    (3.1)
    4.83
    (3.7)
    7.6%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 10).
    • Recent matches Alvarado is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gimnasia y Tiro is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Alvarado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Alvarado will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alvarado
    Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Martin T24109522:16639
    2Atletico Atlanta23109421:15639
    3Gimnasia y Tiro2499622:14836
    4San Miguel2399522:15736
    5Patronato2398627:21635
    6Deportivo Madryn22810425:19634
    7Tristan Suarez23712419:15433
    8Deportivo Maipu2388722:21132
    9Racing Cordoba2379729:30-130
    10Colegiales24861014:19-530
    11Los Andes2377922:22028
    12Quilmes2269722:20227
    13Almagro2369817:20-327
    14Ferro2368915:22-726
    15Club A. Guemes23413619:22-325
    16All Boys23411818:21-323
    17Alvarado2249913:22-921
    18Arsenal Sarandi23391118:33-1518


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy231110224:111343
    2Chacarita Juniors23117530:171340
    3Gimnasia Mendoza221010222:111140
    4Deportivo Moron22109325:111439
    5Estudiantes Rio Cuarto23911323:14938
    6Temperley23108522:17538
    7Chaco For Ever23114825:18737
    8CA Estudiantes2396821:18333
    9CA Mitre2387817:16131
    10Agropecuario2387826:27-131
    11Def. de Belgrano2279618:15330
    12Nueva Chicago2378821:21029
    13San Telmo2269720:24-427
    14Colon Santa Fe23831220:25-527
    15Central Norte23741220:29-925
    16Almirante Brown23491016:26-1021
    17Defensores Unidos2318149:38-2911
    18Talleres (R.E)2315177:28-218

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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