Alvarado vs Gimnasia y Tiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro
Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 12
  • Referee: Cavallero L. (Arg)
Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
22
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
22
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
63
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Bergara M. ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Rojas F. ,
  • 36', Ortiz D. 🟨,
  • 36', Guanini M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ortiz D. , Susvielles J. ,
  • 46', Ascacibar J. , Martinez E. ,
  • 67', Busse W. , Galetto J. ,
  • 67', Contin N. , Heredia F. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Bergara M. ,
  • 70', Bergara M. 🟨,
  • 76', Rinaldi N. , Mendez J. ,
  • 76', Tallura A. , Sivetti F. ,
  • 76', Chaves I. F. , Buter L. ,
  • 77', Bergara M. , Miori M. ,
  • 79', Birge M. 🟨,
  • 79', Blasi B. 🟨,
  • 83', Aleo A. , James J. ,
  • 87', Becker D. , Bolzicco T. ,

Chances of winning


Alvarado
47.7%
Draw
32.9%
Gimnasia y Tiro
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 30.3% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 27.5% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Tiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvarado that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Tiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.12)
    2.79
    (3.1)
    4.83
    (3.7)
    7.6%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 10).
    • Recent matches Alvarado is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gimnasia y Tiro is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Alvarado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Alvarado will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alvarado
    Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atletico Atlanta1797116:7934
    2San Martin T1787216:9731
    3Tristan Suarez1768316:11526
    4Deportivo Madryn1767417:13425
    5Almagro1767415:14125
    6San Miguel1766518:14424
    7Patronato1766521:18324
    8Deportivo Maipu1766516:15124
    9Los Andes1765617:16123
    10Gimnasia y Tiro1757514:10422
    11Quilmes1757516:14222
    12Racing Cordoba1757522:23-122
    13Ferro1764711:15-422
    14All Boys1738615:17-217
    15Colegiales174586:15-917
    16Club A. Guemes1729612:17-515
    17Alvarado1727810:21-1113
    18Arsenal Sarandi1719711:20-912


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1796219:81133
    2Gimnasia Mendoza1788118:81032
    3Deportivo Moron1786320:91130
    4Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1786317:9830
    5Chacarita Juniors1785423:131029
    6CA Estudiantes1775517:13426
    7Chaco For Ever1782717:14326
    8Temperley1775514:12226
    9Def. de Belgrano1767414:11325
    10Agropecuario1774620:18225
    11San Telmo1767417:18-125
    12CA Mitre1756611:10121
    13Colon Santa Fe1763814:16-221
    14Nueva Chicago1745814:18-417
    15Almirante Brown1737713:21-816
    16Central Norte17431012:24-1215
    17Defensores Unidos1716107:28-219
    18Talleres (R.E)1713134:21-176

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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