San Telmo vs Almirante Brown: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud).

: Primera Nacional - Round 13
Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
7	8
Corner Kicks
2	2
Yellow Cards
4	2
Red Cards
1	0
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
7	8
Shots off target
4	5
Corner Kicks
2	2
Goalkeeper Saves
7	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Uriburu R. 🟨,
16', Yangali J. 🟨,
31', Cardozo E. 🟨,
37', Ojeda L. 🟥,
42', Uriburu R. ↓, Formichelli S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Curcio N. ↓, Tello F. ↑,
55', Yangali J. ↓, Britez E. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Gauna S. ⚽,
59', Cardozo E. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
60', Gonzalez R. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
62', Acuna M. 🟨,
67', Maidana A. ↓, Porto J. ↑,
67', Salerno M. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
74', Cenci B. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
74', Gauna S. ↓, Belloso M. ↑,
74', Porto J. 🟨,
83', Vazquez J. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
90', Formichelli S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

San Telmo
43.2%

Draw
31.4%

Almirante Brown
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.3%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

San Telmo - Almirante Brown Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.75)	2.96 ↓ (3.5)	3.65 ↓ (4.32)	7.6% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for San Telmo - Almirante Brown?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Almirante Brown will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 1.
San Telmo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Almirante Brown is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
San Telmo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has San Telmo won against Almirante Brown?

San Telmo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Almirante Brown won against San Telmo?

Almirante Brown has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between San Telmo - Almirante Brown were as follows:

05.10.2024 San Telmo - Almirante Brown 0:1

20.05.2024 Almirante Brown - San Telmo 0:0

10.06.2023 San Telmo - Almirante Brown 3:1

05.02.2023 Almirante Brown - San Telmo 1:0

Latest results of San Telmo

26.04.2025 Chaco For Ever - San Telmo 1:2 ✺

20.04.2025 San Telmo - Mitre 0:0 ✺

14.04.2025 Colón - San Telmo 0:1 ✺

05.04.2025 San Telmo - Temperley 0:3 ✺

30.03.2025 Defensores Unidos - San Telmo 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Almirante Brown

27.04.2025 Almirante Brown - Agropecuario Argentino 0:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Gimnasia Jujuy - Almirante Brown 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Almirante Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Central Norte - Almirante Brown 2:1 ✺

23.03.2025 Almirante Brown - Chaco For Ever 0:0 ✺

Argentinian Primera Nacional Table

2025

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Madryn	27	12	11	4	38:24	14	47
2	Atletico Atlanta	28	12	11	5	27:19	8	47
3	San Martin T	27	11	10	6	25:20	5	43
4	San Miguel	28	11	10	7	28:24	4	43
5	Patronato	27	11	8	8	29:24	5	41
6	Tristan Suarez	28	9	14	5	24:19	5	41
7	Gimnasia y Tiro	27	10	10	7	23:15	8	40
8	Deportivo Maipu	27	9	9	9	25:25	0	36
9	Los Andes	27	9	8	10	26:24	2	35
10	Quilmes	27	8	9	10	27:27	0	33
11	All Boys	27	7	12	8	22:22	0	33
12	Racing Cordoba	27	8	9	10	31:35	-4	33
13	Colegiales	27	9	6	12	17:22	-5	33
14	Almagro	27	7	10	10	20:24	-4	31
15	Ferro	28	7	9	12	17:29	-12	30
16	Club A. Guemes	28	4	15	9	24:31	-7	27
17	Alvarado	27	5	12	10	17:24	-7	27
18	Arsenal Sarandi	28	6	9	13	28:40	-12	27

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gimnasia Mendoza	27	14	10	3	29:13	16	52
2	Gimnasia Jujuy	27	13	11	3	31:13	18	50
3	Deportivo Moron	27	12	10	5	29:16	13	46
4	Chacarita Juniors	28	12	10	6	33:21	12	46
5	CA Estudiantes	28	13	6	9	30:19	11	45
6	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	27	11	11	5	27:17	10	44
7	Temperley	27	11	11	5	23:17	6	44
8	Chaco For Ever	27	13	4	10	28:23	5	43
9	Agropecuario	27	10	8	9	31:31	0	38
10	San Telmo	27	8	11	8	25:29	-4	35
11	Def. de Belgrano	27	8	10	9	22:22	0	34
12	Nueva Chicago	28	8	9	11	24:27	-3	33
13	Central Norte	28	9	6	13	23:30	-7	33
14	CA Mitre	27	8	8	11	19:22	-3	32
15	Colon Santa Fe	28	8	4	16	21:34	-13	28
16	Almirante Brown	27	5	10	12	21:31	-10	25
17	Talleres (R.E)	28	4	5	19	13:34	-21	17
18	Defensores Unidos	27	2	10	15	15:45	-30	16

      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of San Telmo - Almirante Brown?

It is being streamed on channel


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