Result
21/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera Nacional - Round 32
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Chances of winning
Almirante Brown
38.1% | Draw
34.2% | Defensores de Belgrano
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.7) |
2.7 ↓
(2.82) |
3.39 ↑
(2.7) |
7.1%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 1.
- Recent performances by Almirante Brown have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Defensores is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Defensores may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Almirante Brown will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almirante Brown won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Almirante Brown won against Defensores de Belgrano?
Almirante Brown has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensores de Belgrano won against Almirante Brown?
Defensores de Belgrano has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano were as follows:
06.06.2025
Defensores de Belgrano
-
Almirante Brown
1:1
23.09.2024
Defensores de Belgrano
-
Almirante Brown
3:0
04.05.2024
Almirante Brown
-
Defensores de Belgrano
0:2
11.09.2023
Defensores de Belgrano
-
Almirante Brown
0:1
02.10.2022
Almirante Brown
-
Defensores de Belgrano
2:3
Latest results of Almirante Brown
Latest results of Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 56 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 29:23 | 6 | 54 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 49 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 30:20 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 | Patronato | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin T | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 47 |
| 7 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 10 | 16 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 30:28 | 2 | 45 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 23:25 | -2 | 41 |
| 10 | Los Andes | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:26 | 2 | 40 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 36 |
| 13 | All Boys | 31 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Ferro | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 35 |
| 15 | Almagro | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 24:30 | -6 | 34 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 | Alvarado | 31 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 17:28 | -11 | 29 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 33:17 | 16 | 59 |
| 2 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 56 |
| 3 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 39:21 | 18 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 32:15 | 17 | 54 |
| 5 | Deportivo Moron | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 32:18 | 14 | 53 |
| 6 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 33:24 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Temperley | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 48 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 48 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 38 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 26:30 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:27 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 24:36 | -12 | 33 |
| 15 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 24:34 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21:38 | -17 | 28 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 15:36 | -21 | 20 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 17:51 | -34 | 19 |
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