Alex Michelsen vs Daniil Medvedev: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Halle Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev
Result
0:2
20/06/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - Quarter-finals
Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
17
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
59%66%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (24/33)74% (32/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (12/23)55% (12/22)
Break Points Saved
80% (8/10)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
26% (11/43)27% (9/33)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (10/22)48% (11/23)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)20% (2/10)
Winners
719
Unforced Errors
1825
Net Points Won
63% (10/16)100% (7/7)
Service Points Won
64% (36/56)68% (44/65)
Return Points Won
32% (21/65)36% (20/56)
Total Points Won
47% (57/121)53% (64/121)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
60
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Alex Michelsen
32.5%
Daniil Medvedev
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 62%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Michelsen's form might have worsened.
  • Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniil Medvedev's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniil Medvedev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.38)

    1.42
    (1.57)
    4.7%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Medvedev will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 64.6%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Daniil Medvedev will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Michelsen is ranked ATP: 33. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Medvedev is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Michelsen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev Michelsen A. retired
    Latest results of Alex Michelsen
    Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Hanfmann Y. (Q)2 : 0
    2Muller A.Bublik A.0 : 2
    3Marozsan F.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    4De Jong J. (LL)Machac T. (7)1 : 2
    5Rublev A. (4)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Martinez P.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F.Djere L. (Q)2 : 1
    8Bergs Z.Khachanov K. (8)0 : 2
    9Cerundolo F. (5)Michelsen A.1 : 2
    10Tsitsipas S.Darderi L.2 : 1
    11Halys Q.Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 0
    12Altmaier D. (WC)Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    13Humbert U. (6)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    14Fonseca J. (WC)Cobolli F.1 : 2
    15Sonego L.Struff J-L. (WC)2 : 0
    16Giron M.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bublik A.1 : 2
    2Marozsan F.Machac T. (7)0 : 2
    3Rublev A. (4)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F.Khachanov K. (8)1 : 2
    5Michelsen A.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    6Halys Q.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    7Shapovalov D.Cobolli F.1 : 2
    8Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bublik A.Machac T. (7)2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Khachanov K. (8)0 : 2
    3Michelsen A.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    4Cobolli F.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bublik A.Khachanov K. (8)2 : 1
    2Medvedev D. (3)Zverev A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Bublik A.Medvedev D. (3)2 : 0
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