Result
2:0
05/08/2026 at 16:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 52% | 57% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 67% (24/36) | 77% (24/31) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 70% (23/33) | 39% (9/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 9/9 | 4/6 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 36% (13/36) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 30% (10/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/6 | 0/9 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (47/69) | 61% (33/54) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 32% (22/69) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (68/123) | 45% (55/123) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 78% (7/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 0% (0/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 37% (7/19) |
Chances of winning
Alex Michelsen
58.8% | Francisco Cerundolo
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Alex Michelsen - Francisco Cerundolo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.57) |
|
2.32 ↓
(2.38) |
4.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
What is the prediction for Alex Michelsen - Francisco Cerundolo?
- Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 23.1% – 88.1%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 100%).
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Michelsen is ranked ATP: 42. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 23.
- Michelsen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Cerundolo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Michelsen could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Michelsen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Michelsen won against Francisco Cerundolo?
Alex Michelsen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Francisco Cerundolo won against Alex Michelsen?
Francisco Cerundolo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Michelsen - Francisco Cerundolo were as follows:
21.10.2025
Francisco Cerundolo
-
Alex Michelsen
2:0
17.06.2025
Francisco Cerundolo
-
Alex Michelsen
1:2
Latest results of Alex Michelsen
Latest results of Francisco Cerundolo
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Sonego L. | Griekspoor T. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Mochizuki S. (Q) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Arnaldi M. (30) | |
| 5 | Humbert U. (24) | Bye | |
| 6 | Merida Aguilar D. | Draxl L. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Michelsen A. | Struff J-L. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Cerundolo F. (16) | |
| 9 | Tien L. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Majchrzak K. | Monfils G. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Carreno-Busta P. | Royer V. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Paul T. (17) | |
| 13 | Collignon R. (32) | Bye | |
| 14 | Popyrin A. (Q) | Burruchaga R. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Chan D. (Q) | Tirante T. A. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Fritz T. (7) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Hurkacz H. (PR) | Giron M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Tabilo A. (25) | |
| 21 | Khachanov K. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Atmane T. | Draper J. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Fearnley J. (Q) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Mensik J. (13) | |
| 25 | Ruud C. (9) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cerundolo J. M. | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Damm M. (Q) | Tsitsipas S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Fonseca J. (22) | |
| 29 | Bergs Z. (31) | Bye | |
| 30 | Baez S. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Walton A. (Q) | Brooksby J. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Shelton B. (5) | |
| 33 | Lehecka J. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Galarneau A. (WC) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Munar J. | Hijikata R. | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Blockx A. (27) | |
| 37 | Jodar R. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Fucsovics M. | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 39 | Mejia N. (Q) | Landaluce M. | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Bye | Musetti L. (11) | |
| 41 | Vacherot V. (14) | Bye | |
| 42 | Berrettini M. | Navone M. | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Svajda Z. | Shapovalov D. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Fils A. (18) | |
| 45 | Buse I. (29) | Bye | |
| 46 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Norrie C. | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Duckworth J. | O'Connell C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | De Minaur A. (3) | |
| 49 | Cobolli F. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Bonzi B. (Q) | Hanfmann Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 51 | Kovacevic A. | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Etcheverry T. M. (26) | |
| 53 | Darderi L. (19) | Bye | |
| 54 | Diallo G. (WC) | Jacquet K. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | Vallejo D. | Shang J. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Rublev A. (10) | |
| 57 | Tiafoe F. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | Cilic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Zheng M. (Q) | Kecmanovic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (23) | |
| 61 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 62 | Vukic A. (Q) | Altmaier D. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | van Assche L. | Droguet T. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Faria J. | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Griekspoor T. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Marozsan F. | Arnaldi M. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Humbert U. (24) | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Michelsen A. | Cerundolo F. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Tien L. (12) | Monfils G. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Royer V. | Paul T. (17) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Collignon R. (32) | Popyrin A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Tirante T. A. | Fritz T. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (4) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Hurkacz H. | Tabilo A. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Khachanov K. (21) | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Fearnley J. | Mensik J. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Ruud C. (9) | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tsitsipas S. | Fonseca J. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bergs Z. (31) | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Brooksby J. | Shelton B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Lehecka J. (8) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Munar J. | Blockx A. (WO.) (27) | |
| 19 | Jodar R. (20) | Moutet C. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Mejia N. | Musetti L. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Vacherot V. (14) | Navone M. | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Svajda Z. | Fils A. (18) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Buse I. (29) | Norrie C. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Duckworth J. | De Minaur A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Cobolli F. (6) | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 26 | Borges N. | Etcheverry T. M. (26) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Darderi L. (19) | Diallo G. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Shang J. | Rublev A. (10) | 2 : 1 |
| 29 | Tiafoe F. (15) | Cilic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Kecmanovic M. | Rinderknech A. (23) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Nakashima B. (28) | Altmaier D. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Droguet T. | Faria J. | 2 : 0 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Griekspoor T. | Arnaldi M. (30) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Merida Aguilar D. | Michelsen A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tien L. (12) | Paul T. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Popyrin A. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Atmane T. | Mensik J. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Ruud C. (9) | Fonseca J. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bergs Z. (31) | Shelton B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Lehecka J. (8) | Blockx A. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Jodar R. (20) | Musetti L. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Navone M. | Fils A. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Norrie C. | De Minaur A. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Hanfmann Y. | Borges N. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Darderi L. (19) | Shang J. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Tiafoe F. (RET.) (15) | Rinderknech A. (23) | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Nakashima B. (28) | Droguet T. | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Griekspoor T. | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Tien L. (12) | Tirante T. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Mensik J. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Fonseca J. (22) | Shelton B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Lehecka J. (8) | Jodar R. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Fils A. (18) | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Borges N. | Darderi L. (19) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Rinderknech A. (23) | Nakashima B. (28) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Merida Aguilar D. | Tien L. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Mensik J. (13) | Shelton B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Jodar R. (20) | Fils A. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Darderi L. (19) | Nakashima B. (28) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tien L. (12) | Shelton B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Jodar R. (20) | Nakashima B. (28) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Shelton B. (5) | Nakashima B. (28) | 2 : 0 |
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