Willem II vs Ajax: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Willem II - Ajax
Result
1:2
13/04/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 29
  • Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
Willem II - Ajax - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.322.51
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
529
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
78% (227/291)89% (519/585)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.322.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.381.65
Total shots
529
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
014
Shots inside the Box
322
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
869
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
48
Passes
78% (227/291)89% (519/585)
Long passes
37% (22/59)63% (32/51)
Passes in final third
68% (56/82)84% (245/291)
Crosses
0% (0/7)20% (9/44)
Expected assists (xA)
0.273.19
Fouls
84
Tackles
37% (7/19)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4353
Clearances Total
6113
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.650.38
Goals prevented
-0.35-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Mathijsen J. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Kehrer E. , Bokila J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Brobbey B. , Weghorst W. ,
  • 59', Klaassen D. , Berghuis S. ,
  • 69', Hato J. , Fitz-Jim K. ,
  • 69', Godts M. , Edvardsen O. ,
  • 71', Bokila J. , Sylla Y. ,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Edvardsen O. , Berghuis S. (A),
  • 76', Mathijsen J. , Nizet R. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Weghorst W. , Fitz-Jim K. (A),
  • 84', Sigurgeirsson R. , Ahmed Fatah A. ,
  • 84', Meerveld R. , Doodeman N. ,
  • 84', Sandra C. , Pivas M. ,
  • 90', Henderson J. , Rugani D. ,

Chances of winning


Willem II
10.6%
Draw
18.3%
Ajax
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.7% 18.8% 69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2% 18% 72.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Willem II - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.96
    (8.05)
    5.2
    (5.01)
    1.34
    (1.36)
    4.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Willem II - Ajax?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Willem II won 0.
    • Willem II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Ajax is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Willem II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Ajax is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Behounek R. (Yellow Cards) Lambert B. (Inactive) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Inactive) Tirpan M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Baas Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Pasveer R. (Groin Injury) Regeer Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Ajax to win the game is with odds 1.35.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Willem II won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 11:54 (average 0.6:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Willem II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:21 (average 0.6:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Ajax were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Ajax - Willem II 1:0
    Latest results of Willem II
    04.04.2025 Heerenveen - Willem II 3:1
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2
    09.03.2025 Willem II - Utrecht 2:3
    Latest results of Ajax
    06.04.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 3:1
    30.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 0:2
    13.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Ajax 4:1
    09.03.2025 Zwolle - Ajax 0:1
    06.03.2025 Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV ✔ 332445100:386276
    2Ajax ✔ 33236465:323375
    3Feyenoord ✔ 33208576:364068
    4Utrecht ✔ 33189662:451763
    5AZ Alkmaar ✔ 33168957:362156
    6Twente ✔ 33159962:471554
    7G.A. Eagles ✔ 331491054:50451
    8Nijmegen331171549:45440
    9Heerenveen331171540:57-1740
    10Sittard331171537:54-1740
    11Sparta Rotterdam339121238:40-239
    12Groningen331091440:51-1139
    13Zwolle339111341:51-1038
    14Heracles339111341:61-2038
    15NAC Breda33881733:57-2432
    16Willem II33672033:55-2225
    17Waalwijk33572139:71-3222
    18Almere City ✔ 33492022:63-4121

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSV is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Feyenoord is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Utrecht is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )
    AZ Alkmaar is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    G.A. Eagles is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )
    Almere City is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
    Which TV channels are streaming of Willem II - Ajax?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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