Groningen vs Ajax: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Groningen - Ajax
Result
2:2
14/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 33
  • Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
Groningen - Ajax - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.80
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
79% (352/448)82% (430/525)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.940.44
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
70
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1516
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
79% (352/448)82% (430/525)
Long passes
45% (34/75)48% (35/73)
Passes in final third
58% (65/112)64% (89/138)
Crosses
44% (8/18)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.951.29
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
1513
Tackles
57% (12/21)40% (6/15)
Duels won
6158
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.441.94
Goals prevented
-1.56-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Gaaei A. , Brobbey B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 1 - 1, van Bergen T. , Resink S. (A),
  • 55', Bacuna L. 🟨,
  • 56', Fitz-Jim K. , Klaassen D. ,
  • 56', Brobbey B. , Weghorst W. ,
  • 64', Traore B. , Berghuis S. ,
  • 64', Mokio J. , Wijndal O. ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Weghorst W. , Berghuis S. (A),
  • 72', Henderson J. 🟨,
  • 73', Kwakman D. , Willumsson B. ,
  • 73', Prins W. , Peersman M. ,
  • 77', Godts M. , Regeer Y. ,
  • 80', Schreuders J. , Seuntjens M. ,
  • 81', Ekdal H. 🟨,
  • 83', Gaaei A. 🟨,
  • 86', Bacuna L. , Postema R. ,
  • 90+3', Valente L. 🟥,
  • 90+9', Vaessen E. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 2 - 2, Blokzijl T. ,

Chances of winning


Groningen
17.1%
Draw
23.2%
Ajax
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.3% 20.3% 65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14% 19.9% 66.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Groningen - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.57
    (6.62)
    4.09
    (4.66)
    1.6
    (1.45)
    5%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Groningen - Ajax?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Groningen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ajax is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Groningen: Mariani M. (Knock) Turay F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Baas Y. (Groin Injury) Edvardsen O. (Knee Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Groningen: Peersman M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:44. (average 0.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Ajax were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Ajax - Groningen 3:1
    16.05.2023 Groningen - Ajax 2:3
    Latest results of Groningen
    11.05.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 3:0
    03.05.2025 Groningen - Waalwijk 6:1
    13.04.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 3:1
    05.04.2025 Groningen - PSV Eindhoven 1:3
    Latest results of Ajax
    11.05.2025 Ajax - NEC Nijmegen 0:3
    27.04.2025 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1
    20.04.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 4:0
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    06.04.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 3:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV ✔ 332445100:386276
    2Ajax ✔ 33236465:323375
    3Feyenoord ✔ 33208576:364068
    4Utrecht ✔ 33189662:451763
    5AZ Alkmaar ✔ 33168957:362156
    6Twente ✔ 33159962:471554
    7G.A. Eagles ✔ 331491054:50451
    8Nijmegen331171549:45440
    9Heerenveen331171540:57-1740
    10Sittard331171537:54-1740
    11Sparta Rotterdam339121238:40-239
    12Groningen331091440:51-1139
    13Zwolle339111341:51-1038
    14Heracles339111341:61-2038
    15NAC Breda33881733:57-2432
    16Willem II33672033:55-2225
    17Waalwijk33572139:71-3222
    18Almere City ✔ 33492022:63-4121

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSV is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Feyenoord is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Utrecht is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )
    AZ Alkmaar is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    G.A. Eagles is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )
    Almere City is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
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