Lille vs Ajaccio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Lille - Ajaccio
29/04/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Lille - Ajaccio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Lille
75.5%
Draw
16.9%
Ajaccio
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77% 16% 7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Lille - Ajaccio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.23)
    5.74
    (5.9)
    12.54
    (13.55)
    4.4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Ajaccio?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 33 - 76.7%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 64.1%89.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Lille has the most likely position - 5 (36.94%), project points - 68, currently - 56, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (5%), not chance of win league.
    • Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (51.25%), project points - 26, currently - 21, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 57, very small importance 9, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 5.
    • Lille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ajaccio has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Ajaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lille is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Lille won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Ajaccio were as follows:
    26.08.2022 Ajaccio - Lille 1:3
    Latest results of Lille
    22.04.2023 Auxerre - Lille 1:1
    16.04.2023 Lille - Montpellier 2:1
    08.04.2023 Angers - Lille 1:0
    02.04.2023 Lille - Lorient 3:1
    18.03.2023 Toulouse - Lille 0:2
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    23.04.2023 Ajaccio - Brest 0:0
    16.04.2023 Strasbourg - Ajaccio 3:1
    09.04.2023 Ajaccio - Auxerre 0:3
    02.04.2023 Clermont - Ajaccio 2:1
    19.03.2023 Ajaccio - Monaco 0:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG33008:359
    2Lyon33005:059
    3Lille321011:477
    4Monaco32016:426
    5Lens32015:326
    6Strasbourg32014:316
    7Toulouse32016:606
    8Angers31112:204
    9Rennes31112:5-34
    10Marseille31025:413
    11Le Havre31025:6-13
    12Nice31024:5-13
    13Nantes31021:2-13
    14Auxerre31022:4-23
    15Lorient31025:8-33
    16Paris FC31025:8-33
    17Brest30124:8-41
    18Metz30032:7-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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