Lille vs Ajaccio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

29/04/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Lille
75.5%

Draw
16.9%

Ajaccio
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77%

16%

7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lille - Ajaccio Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.23)	5.74 ↓ (5.9)	12.54 ↓ (13.55)	4.4% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Lille - Ajaccio?

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 33 - 76.7%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 64.1% – 89.3%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
Lille has the most likely position - 5 (36.94%), project points - 68, currently - 56, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (5%), not chance of win league.
Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (51.25%), project points - 26, currently - 21, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality 57, very small importance 9, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 5.
Lille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ajaccio has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Ajaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Lille is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Lille won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Ajaccio?

Lille has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Lille?

Ajaccio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Ajaccio were as follows:

26.08.2022 Ajaccio - Lille 1:3

Latest results of Lille

22.04.2023 Auxerre - Lille 1:1 ✺

16.04.2023 Lille - Montpellier 2:1 ✺

08.04.2023 Angers - Lille 1:0 ✺

02.04.2023 Lille - Lorient 3:1 ✺

18.03.2023 Toulouse - Lille 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Ajaccio

23.04.2023 Ajaccio - Brest 0:0 ✺

16.04.2023 Strasbourg - Ajaccio 3:1 ✺

09.04.2023 Ajaccio - Auxerre 0:3 ✺

02.04.2023 Clermont - Ajaccio 2:1 ✺

19.03.2023 Ajaccio - Monaco 0:2 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Lille	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Metz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Nice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	PSG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Angers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Brest	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Lens	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ Ligue 2

Which TV channels are streaming of Lille - Ajaccio?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport