Result
29/04/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Lille
75.5% | Draw
16.9% | Ajaccio
7.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Lille - Ajaccio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↑
(1.23) |
5.74 ↓
(5.9) |
12.54 ↓
(13.55) |
4.4%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lille - Ajaccio?
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 33 - 76.7%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 64.1% – 89.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Lille has the most likely position - 5 (36.94%), project points - 68, currently - 56, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (5%), not chance of win league.
- Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (51.25%), project points - 26, currently - 21, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 57, very small importance 9, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 5.
- Lille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ajaccio has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Ajaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lille is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Lille won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Ajaccio?
Lille has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Lille?
Ajaccio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Ajaccio were as follows:
26.08.2022
Ajaccio
-
Lille
1:3
Latest results of Ajaccio
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Lyon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Rennes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Marseille | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Nice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Lens | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Nantes | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Brest | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Metz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Lille - Ajaccio?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1 |
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
