Bastia vs Ajaccio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 2 Bastia - Ajaccio
Result
4:0
11/01/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 18
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
Bastia - Ajaccio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.900.58
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
137
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
52
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
22
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
1012
Offsides
73
Fouls
1210
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1621
Touches in the Opposition Box
269
Passes
87% (401/461)76% (241/317)
Passes in the final third
62% (62/100)53% (32/60)
Crosses
10% (1/10)22% (2/9)
Tackles
68% (17/25)71% (10/14)
Clearances Total
1913
Interceptions
712

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 16', Ayessa J. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Ducrocq T. (Pen),
  • 20', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Tomi F. , Tramoni L. (A),
  • 37', Chegra I. 🟨,
  • 40', 3 - 0, Cisse L. , Ducrocq T. (A),
  • 42', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kante A. , Anziani J. ,
  • 46', Puch-Herrantz M. , Strata T. ,
  • 60', Chegra I. , Jacob V. ,
  • 68', 4 - 0, Tramoni L. , Cisse L. (A),
  • 70', Cisse L. , Ble M. ,
  • 70', Ibayi C. , Soumano M. ,
  • 71', Ducrocq T. , Maggiotti J. ,
  • 80', Tomi F. , Rodrigues C. ,
  • 80', Janneh J. , Etoga L. ,
  • 80', Ariss Z. , Bohnert F. ,
  • 89', Ble M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bastia
55.3%
Draw
27.8%
Ajaccio
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 26.6% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 25% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Bastia - Ajaccio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.64)
    3.36
    (3.53)
    5.58
    (5.75)
    6.4%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Bastia - Ajaccio?
  • Users Predictions: Bastia will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3.
    • Recent matches Bastia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ajaccio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Bastia is a favorite.
    • There are questionable in Ajaccio: Campanini T. (Injury) Jabol-Folcarelli T. (Leg Injury) Mangani T. (Injury) Strata T. (Injury) Toure B. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Bastia won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 0.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Ajaccio were as follows:
    03.12.2024 Ajaccio - Bastia 0:0
    05.02.2024 Bastia - Ajaccio 1:0
    02.10.2023 Ajaccio - Bastia 2:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    03.01.2025 Grenoble - Bastia 3:2
    20.12.2024 Bastia - Saint-Joseph 5:0
    13.12.2024 Bastia - Guingamp 3:1
    06.12.2024 Red Star - Bastia 0:0
    03.12.2024 Ajaccio - Bastia 0:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    03.01.2025 Ajaccio - Annecy 1:2
    13.12.2024 Pau - Ajaccio 1:0
    07.12.2024 Ajaccio - Paris FC 0:2
    03.12.2024 Ajaccio - Bastia 0:0
    25.11.2024 Dunkerque - Ajaccio 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Bastia - Ajaccio?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
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